PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

BigRabbit

0xeb22f4735df6bd5d14e1b5fd10faefa7757d808a

Realised P&L
$178.0k
Volume
$24.17M
Markets traded
2,118
Open portfolio
$108.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,118
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2340.278$27.7k+$4.3k
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8750.887$12.9k+$182.39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4990.405$7.2k$1.7k
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4200.445$6.8k+$381.65
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.5150.585$6.4k+$765.01
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0220.030$6.1k+$1.6k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.1700.225$5.6k+$1.4k
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5830.536$5.4k$464.99
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.3930.325$4.9k$1.0k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4200.465$4.7k+$450.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? · Yes0.3800.205$2.0k$1.7k
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0110.009$1.9k$272.60
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4220.430$1.9k+$35.81
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.3500.320$1.6k$150.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.140$1.4k$1.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:29US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.8$22.71
08-02 22:07US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.35$1.1k
08-02 02:16US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.5545936108$2.8k
08-02 02:15Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.03$390.00
08-02 02:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.09$450.00
08-02 02:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.52$5.2k
08-02 00:15Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.17$4.3k
08-01 22:19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.47$470.00
08-01 21:33NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?BUY0.04$105.04
08-01 21:15US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.91$1.8k
08-01 13:06Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.1255112078$4.5k
07-26 21:16US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.498$4.5k
07-23 23:58Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.2645577481$1.8k
07-23 23:58US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.48$480.00
07-23 23:57Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.139$1.4k