BigRabbit
0xeb22f4735df6bd5d14e1b5fd10faefa7757d808a
- Realised P&L
- $134.4k
- Volume
- $26.63M
- Markets traded
- 2,201
- Open portfolio
- $142.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,201
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.5kat 0.019Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$42.3kat 0.048Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$28.7kat 0.082US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
- +$26.5kat 0.130US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$18.0kat 0.150Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 00:29 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-15 House seat? | BUY | 0.21 | $105.00 |
| 09-17 00:28 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat? | BUY | 0.18 | $180.00 |
| 09-17 00:22 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 00:21 | Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.35 | $35.00 |
| 09-17 00:21 | Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 09-17 00:21 | Will the Democratic Party win the KS-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.08 | $80.00 |
| 09-17 00:20 | Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.31 | $77.50 |
| 09-17 00:01 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.0k |
| 09-16 23:52 | Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.12 | $9.48 |
| 09-15 13:49 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.1k |
| 09-14 20:22 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.0425948949 | $300.00 |
| 09-14 19:36 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.1k |
| 09-14 18:57 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.04265784 | $42.66 |
| 09-14 18:56 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.041 | $41.00 |
| 09-14 17:57 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.56 |