Atlantislq
0x3968c3d8090406b6d4c6e29308331a9dc3292b0f
- Realised P&L
- $104.2k
- Volume
- $1.44M
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $7.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes | 0.192 | 0.150 | $7.4k | −$2.1k |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.8kat 0.411US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$35.2kat 0.342MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$15.0kat 0.337Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
- +$13.6kat 0.460US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$7.3kat 0.508Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 11:03 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $777.51 |
| 09-24 21:48 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $539.87 |
| 09-24 21:45 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.0k |
| 09-24 21:03 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $4.5k |
| 09-24 20:41 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $465.33 |
| 09-24 18:22 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.994 | $14.9k |
| 09-24 18:22 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.994 | $1.1k |
| 09-21 13:27 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.0012957659 | $19.36 |
| 09-20 08:50 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.7255144244 | $46.00 |
| 09-19 20:56 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6687346366 | $6.2k |
| 09-19 20:32 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.68 | $278.48 |
| 09-19 20:30 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4903872618 | $2.7k |
| 09-17 00:20 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | SELL | 0.98 | $2.0k |
| 09-16 20:02 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.7649144309 | $5.1k |
| 06-20 18:56 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0221513675 | $43.27 |