PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

compute

0xd0d920677cf913e289b6467dde2140d4fa43d6db

Realised P&L
$10.1k
Volume
$1.48M
Markets traded
279
Open portfolio
$5.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded279
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1000.065$1.3k$675.06
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1390.145$1.1k+$47.20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.2100.205$1.1k$27.70
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2750.185$750.15$365.38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1680.165$439.21$7.11
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0750.056$330.56$116.13
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1440.115$269.27$67.46
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0660.051$170.55$47.29
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.0890.070$153.46$41.77
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31? · Yes0.0500.024$48.48$52.52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.0220.009$9.89$13.01
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.4990.085$4.52$21.98
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · Yes0.1800.040$0.73$2.56
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? · No0.0050.000$0.00$434.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 19:00Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?SELL0.16$81.39
09-15 18:23US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.002$61.48
09-15 18:08US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.002$10.25
09-15 12:28Iran Nuke before 2027?SELL0.06$16.32
09-14 01:19US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?SELL0.11$9.43
09-14 01:18US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.31$56.45
09-14 01:13Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.14$290.40
09-12 22:27US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?SELL0.13$4.07
09-12 22:26US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?SELL0.12$0.14
09-12 22:26US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?SELL0.11$0.05
09-12 22:25US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.12$14.23
09-12 22:23US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.13$14.67
09-12 13:55Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?SELL0.22$45.01
09-12 01:52US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.19$179.00
09-11 22:01US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?SELL0.16$38.08