0xC3Db6a07351313cc684759Dee1722D2bB1e90F98-1768247047455
0xc3db6a07351313cc684759dee1722d2bb1e90f98
- Realised P&L
- $94.2k
- Volume
- $3.51M
- Markets traded
- 442
- Open portfolio
- $51.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded442
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.0kat 0.185US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$16.3kat 0.479US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$14.0kat 0.267Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
- +$12.1kat 0.025Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$10.2kat 0.134Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 22:35 | Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.9934782643 | $5.6k |
| 10-29 22:34 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.9889212228 | $991.22 |
| 10-29 22:34 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.0050233777 | $36.22 |
| 10-29 22:33 | Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.9857528639 | $333.02 |
| 10-29 22:33 | Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.9872998831 | $3.9k |
| 10-29 22:33 | Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.9810585713 | $1.6k |
| 10-29 22:33 | Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.9699691047 | $6.5k |
| 10-29 22:32 | Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.9799275411 | $6.6k |
| 10-27 19:20 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.9512091523 | $19.1k |
| 10-21 12:10 | Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0108887399 | $5.28 |
| 10-19 16:40 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | SELL | 0.5702142289 | $2.5k |
| 10-14 20:40 | Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.168 | $22.34 |
| 10-14 19:22 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.29 | $322.19 |
| 10-14 19:21 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.1665452638 | $100.00 |
| 10-14 19:05 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.2799999998 | $333.00 |