PolyBot

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Traders

0xC3Db6a07351313cc684759Dee1722D2bB1e90F98-1768247047455

0xc3db6a07351313cc684759dee1722d2bb1e90f98

Realised P&L
$94.2k
Volume
$3.51M
Markets traded
442
Open portfolio
$51.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded442
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.6630.915$14.8k+$4.1k
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.9770.962$11.8k−$185.33
Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.9800.962$6.5k−$124.91
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.3490.640$6.2k+$2.8k
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · No0.8000.935$5.2k+$749.92
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · No0.7070.963$2.3k+$612.84
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2000.135$1.5k−$722.21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.2170.130$891.78−$598.63
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No0.3700.905$772.21+$456.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.095$534.11−$365.44
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.4200.055$122.21−$811.03
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0490.021$113.88−$158.32
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.3340.021$90.80−$1.3k
Will at least 5 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? · No0.9501.000$81.06+$4.01
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2000.075$70.65−$117.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 22:35Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.9934782643$5.6k
10-29 22:34Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.9889212228$991.22
10-29 22:34Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.0050233777$36.22
10-29 22:33Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.9857528639$333.02
10-29 22:33Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.9872998831$3.9k
10-29 22:33Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.9810585713$1.6k
10-29 22:33Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.9699691047$6.5k
10-29 22:32Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.9799275411$6.6k
10-27 19:20Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.9512091523$19.1k
10-21 12:10Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.0108887399$5.28
10-19 16:40US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?SELL0.5702142289$2.5k
10-14 20:40Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)BUY0.168$22.34
10-14 19:22Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.29$322.19
10-14 19:21Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.1665452638$100.00
10-14 19:05Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.2799999998$333.00