0xC3Db6a07351313cc684759Dee1722D2bB1e90F98-1768247047455
0xc3db6a07351313cc684759dee1722d2bb1e90f98
- Realised P&L
- $96.1k
- Volume
- $3.10M
- Markets traded
- 414
- Open portfolio
- $50.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded414
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.0kat 0.185US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$16.3kat 0.479US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$14.0kat 0.267Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
- +$12.1kat 0.025Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$10.2kat 0.134Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:55 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.69 | $1.0k |
| 09-15 19:48 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.052310521 | $284.57 |
| 09-15 19:48 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $733.48 |
| 09-15 19:29 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.0535729984 | $291.44 |
| 09-15 19:28 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.2172655527 | $2.2k |
| 09-15 16:26 | US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? | BUY | 0.9885306269 | $2.4k |
| 09-14 01:16 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.105607925 | $422.43 |
| 09-14 01:12 | Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.9799494012 | $581.01 |
| 09-14 01:12 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.86 | $3.2k |
| 09-14 01:06 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.1203859589 | $600.34 |
| 09-13 23:38 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.15 | $225.00 |
| 09-12 18:10 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.1494688725 | $807.16 |
| 09-11 23:09 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $1.2k |
| 09-11 10:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.06 | $120.00 |
| 09-11 10:34 | Will Blue & White win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.856879945 | $49.82 |