Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?

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Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-10-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.21. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.20. Range 0.20 to 0.36. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.26	6	6
0.27	49	55
0.31	51	106
0.33	300	406
0.34	196	602
0.42	24	626
0.43	500	1,126
0.44	23	1,149
0.52	100	1,249
0.68	5	1,254
0.69	5	1,260
0.78	10	1,270

Spread0.09Mid0.22

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.17	0	0
0.13	71	72
0.12	20	92
0.10	230	322
0.09	294	615
0.08	770	1,385
0.07	510	1,895
0.05	750	2,645
0.04	508	3,153
0.03	1,550	4,703
0.02	1,508	6,211
0.01	3,800	10,011

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.83	0	0
0.87	71	72
0.88	20	92
0.90	230	322
0.91	294	615
0.92	770	1,385
0.93	510	1,895
0.95	750	2,645
0.96	508	3,153
0.97	1,550	4,703
0.98	1,508	6,211
0.99	3,800	10,011

Spread0.09Mid0.78

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.74	6	6
0.73	49	55
0.69	51	106
0.67	300	406
0.66	196	602
0.58	24	626
0.57	500	1,126
0.56	23	1,149
0.48	100	1,249
0.32	5	1,254
0.31	5	1,260
0.22	10	1,270

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
SubashChandraBose	Yes	391.1
BloodyMummer	Yes	200
estoicc	Yes	194
Ko9science	Yes	95.5
g941ax6g1xpk	Yes	64.03
DJBLAK	Yes	55.56
rocky42004	Yes	43.73
cd30gfu530p0	Yes	34.41
0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951	Yes	31.25
Stitch-X-626	Yes	25.1
LornaPredicts	Yes	21.39
0xfec464f25Ce66AaEb9Bd4Ecb94b7184520bCCFc8-1741783184737	Yes	20
kanhaoleaha	Yes	16.8
0x230d59Fa945B31660740EA95b8C9F774ED303fBB-1774601889454	Yes	15
misterwilly	Yes	13.48
0xd4662574a18Edea35370b78d352cB83126D817dD-1783087534858	Yes	8.33
0x23d81ba9371e576015c1e562db09c689f56c028	Yes	7.5
0xD0698A02dEd7B86284eBf25e9dB0Bb0d787AD078-1779655870153	Yes	7.05
79rbhm1j966b	Yes	6.25
jogin	Yes	5.53

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:26:56	BUY	Yes	0.2699999896	56	$15.00
06:58:50	BUY	No	0.8199999836	1	$1.00
06:23:45	SELL	Yes	0.22	6	$1.32
21:18:54	BUY	No	0.75	7	$4.92
05:17:33	SELL	No	0.7540355125	12	$9.34
02:46:18	SELL	Yes	0.197620438	14	$2.71
02:18:21	BUY	Yes	0.27	17	$4.54
18:55:24	SELL	No	0.73	3	$2.34
18:27:09	SELL	Yes	0.1989116829	29	$5.72
07:07:12	SELL	No	0.63	2	$1.18
05:37:29	SELL	Yes	0.27	12	$3.35
05:26:50	SELL	No	0.62	25	$15.50
03:50:44	SELL	No	0.6	30	$18.00
03:40:24	SELL	No	0.6	30	$18.00
03:40:15	SELL	No	0.6	30	$18.00
03:30:57	SELL	Yes	0.34	26	$8.95
03:22:39	BUY	No	0.65	25	$16.25
03:20:09	SELL	No	0.58	30	$17.40
01:58:48	BUY	Yes	0.3	8	$2.25
01:50:30	SELL	No	0.685575	20	$13.71
01:50:18	SELL	No	0.71	20	$14.20
01:50:09	SELL	No	0.7	11	$7.87
01:50:06	SELL	No	0.7	20	$14.00
01:47:06	SELL	No	0.71	9	$6.21
01:46:11	SELL	No	0.71125	20	$14.23