Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-11-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.23. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.23. Range 0.18 to 0.29. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.24	60	60
0.25	251	311
0.26	93	404
0.63	39	443
0.64	19	463
0.70	30	493
0.76	50	543
0.77	40	583
0.78	50	633
0.86	20	653
0.94	11	664
0.95	40	704

Spread0.02Mid0.23

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.22	69	69
0.21	100	169
0.20	73	243
0.19	87	330
0.15	65	394
0.14	338	732
0.13	250	982
0.12	400	1,382
0.09	670	2,052
0.08	1,111	3,163
0.06	10	3,172
0.05	750	3,922

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.78	69	69
0.79	100	169
0.80	73	243
0.81	87	330
0.85	65	394
0.86	338	732
0.87	250	982
0.88	400	1,382
0.91	670	2,052
0.92	1,111	3,163
0.94	10	3,172
0.95	750	3,922

Spread0.02Mid0.77

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.76	60	60
0.75	251	311
0.74	93	404
0.37	39	443
0.36	19	463
0.30	30	493
0.24	50	543
0.23	40	583
0.22	50	633
0.14	20	653
0.06	11	664
0.05	40	704

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
crypto-basenji	Yes	602.99
ExcaIibur	Yes	413.36
0xfD60167f4f8a372ab88bB1E52360fCFD331393cb-1768346337041	Yes	413.15
BloodyMummer	Yes	400
Ko9science	Yes	231.6
trading-noob-2	Yes	221
mrkinetiq	Yes	199.99
estoicc	Yes	194
catTr	Yes	119.34
LornaPredicts	Yes	101.39
pjotrekkk	Yes	100
cd30gfu530p0	Yes	66.44
V4grant	Yes	47.27
Lashibucapiguyonghand	Yes	45
AJSV	Yes	44.67
rocky42004	Yes	43.73
Stitch-X-626	Yes	35.1
0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951	Yes	31.25
starmchose	Yes	23.81
Amirante	Yes	23.81

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:09:50	BUY	No	0.7699999877	6	$5.00
03:41:57	BUY	No	0.76	20	$15.20
17:28:42	BUY	No	0.72	9	$6.48
17:28:35	BUY	No	0.72	142	$102.40
19:52:24	BUY	Yes	0.2158343891	221	$47.70
16:55:15	SELL	Yes	0.2	10	$1.92
12:17:48	BUY	Yes	0.2099999983	24	$5.00
01:52:41	SELL	Yes	0.19	67	$12.77
01:42:43	SELL	Yes	0.22	27	$5.94
01:42:23	SELL	Yes	0.2235183773	131	$29.31
14:01:13	BUY	No	0.7799999891	13	$10.00
20:47:25	SELL	No	0.72	7	$5.04
20:47:06	SELL	No	0.75225	20	$15.04
20:38:04	BUY	Yes	0.2299999954	6	$1.49
20:38:03	SELL	No	0.77	6	$5.00
20:38:00	BUY	Yes	0.2203817647	170	$37.46
20:38:00	BUY	Yes	0.23	20	$4.60
03:51:20	SELL	Yes	0.2	20	$4.00
12:45:21	BUY	No	0.7899999905	6	$5.00
04:20:12	SELL	Yes	0.22	1	$0.28
04:19:52	BUY	No	0.7799999922	59	$45.95
23:23:27	BUY	Yes	0.23	5	$1.15
23:23:01	BUY	Yes	0.23	30	$6.90
22:01:03	BUY	No	0.7350467526	198	$145.43
21:39:07	SELL	No	0.7	15	$10.50