PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfD60167f4f8a372ab88bB1E52360fCFD331393cb-1768346337041

0xfd60167f4f8a372ab88bb1e52360fcfd331393cb

Realised P&L
$93.61
Volume
$8.8k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$555.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.125$335.42+$13.42
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.255$121.43+$21.43
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2660.230$95.02$14.98
Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ? · Yes0.0480.021$3.46$4.51
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4? · Up0.4970.000$0.00$61.45
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 09:02Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ?BUY0.0483138057$7.97
09-14 15:59NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2099999996$100.00
09-14 15:58Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?BUY0.266249679$110.00
09-14 15:48Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?SELL0.805522855$217.81
09-04 00:01Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4?BUY0.4975708502$61.45
09-03 23:59Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?BUY0.3698118918$100.00
09-03 23:24NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999997$322.00
02-26 16:48US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?SELL0.1832623044$19.44
02-26 16:47US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL0.58$26.36
02-26 16:47Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiSELL0.18$12.61
02-26 16:47US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?SELL0.1395112794$44.22
02-26 16:47Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?SELL0.0366523009$14.05
02-26 16:47Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?SELL0.0495478782$15.61
02-20 17:52US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?BUY0.3299999939$35.00
01-31 23:05Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.1699999941$20.00