PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951

0x04b3f873b003eba3774df1e5e47a370d27ee1b7e

Realised P&L
$3.1k
Volume
$308.3k
Markets traded
7,260
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,260
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:12Will Trump say "Burger" in October?BUY0.895999995$10.00
11-01 20:24Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?SELL0.44$4.30
11-01 15:17Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.71$10.14
11-01 14:51Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?SELL0.8930265203$19.53
11-01 13:58Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?BUY0.74$16.19
11-01 13:46Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7099999517$10.00
11-01 13:37Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.81$26.93
11-01 09:04Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.699999965$10.00
11-01 07:05Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.8$15.00
11-01 03:56Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.3099999986$15.00
11-01 02:35Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.68$8.82
10-31 23:02Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?SELL0.73$0.13
10-31 22:29Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.2336751903$15.00
10-31 22:17Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?SELL0.15$5.77
10-31 22:12Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?SELL0.77$7.70