0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951
0x04b3f873b003eba3774df1e5e47a370d27ee1b7e
- Realised P&L
- $3.1k
- Volume
- $308.3k
- Markets traded
- 7,260
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,260
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.85at 0.108Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$146.36at 0.064Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 29?
- +$129.78at 0.108Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 18?
- +$129.65at 0.139Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 28?
- +$106.33at 0.156Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:12 | Will Trump say "Burger" in October? | BUY | 0.895999995 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 20:24 | Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | SELL | 0.44 | $4.30 |
| 11-01 15:17 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.71 | $10.14 |
| 11-01 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.8930265203 | $19.53 |
| 11-01 13:58 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.74 | $16.19 |
| 11-01 13:46 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999517 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 13:37 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $26.93 |
| 11-01 09:04 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 07:05 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 03:56 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999986 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 02:35 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $8.82 |
| 10-31 23:02 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $0.13 |
| 10-31 22:29 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.2336751903 | $15.00 |
| 10-31 22:17 | Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.15 | $5.77 |
| 10-31 22:12 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $7.70 |