0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951
0x04b3f873b003eba3774df1e5e47a370d27ee1b7e
- Realised P&L
- $4.4k
- Volume
- $295.4k
- Markets traded
- 6,923
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded6,923
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$480.38at 0.327LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner
- +$170.88at 0.149Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
- +$152.85at 0.108Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$146.36at 0.064Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 29?
- +$143.47at 0.067Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.76 | $17.85 |
| 09-17 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.6199999907 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 08:03 | Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.74 |
| 09-17 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.76 |
| 09-17 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.7352941176 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.65 | $5.79 |
| 09-17 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.90 |
| 09-17 07:10 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.14 |
| 09-17 05:37 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.2309271397 | $7.26 |
| 09-17 05:32 | Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $1.16 |
| 09-17 01:36 | Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999979 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 01:24 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $14.66 |
| 09-17 01:23 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $6.98 |
| 09-16 23:18 | Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $0.06 |
| 09-16 22:58 | Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $16.70 |