0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951
0x04b3f873b003eba3774df1e5e47a370d27ee1b7e
- Realised P&L
- $4.4k
- Volume
- $250.7k
- Markets traded
- 6,033
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded6,033
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$153.40at 0.108Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$147.15at 0.061Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 29?
- +$130.52at 0.133Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 28?
- +$130.45at 0.103Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 18?
- +$107.44at 0.150Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.57 | $15.39 |
| 08-03 04:18 | Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 03:51 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.01 |
| 08-03 03:48 | Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.18 |
| 08-03 03:47 | Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.15 |
| 08-03 03:47 | Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.46 |
| 08-03 03:44 | Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.10 |
| 08-03 03:37 | Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.75 |
| 08-03 03:19 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.6547618724 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 03:15 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.77 |
| 08-03 03:15 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.69 |
| 08-03 03:05 | Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.095963939 | $13.84 |
| 08-03 02:57 | Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $4.51 |
| 08-03 02:53 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.7919432969 | $15.00 |
| 08-03 02:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2621518598 | $8.53 |