Amirante
0x7acb295979d2feeadfa6f1449986cba7111893fe
- Realised P&L
- $24.38
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $120.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.65at 0.170Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$70.91at 0.220US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$23.56at 0.298Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
- +$10.80at 0.640Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$7.12at 0.587Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 18:28 | Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 18:26 | Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 18:24 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 18:24 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $20.00 |
| 07-30 15:42 | Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 15:42 | Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.2965551527 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 12:19 | Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1791913497 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 18:36 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1969999854 | $10.00 |
| 07-12 17:49 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 11:21 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1624999768 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 03:27 | Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.97 |
| 07-07 03:27 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 07-07 03:26 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.2 | $22.22 |
| 06-27 08:58 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2159999675 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 08:58 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |