PolyBot

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Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.004. Unchanged over the period, from 0.004. Range 0.003 to 0.004. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.004905905
0.0051461,051
0.0103751,426
0.0191501,576
0.020201,596
0.035231,619
0.040401,659
0.04151,664
0.050151,679
0.05251,684
0.0601131,798
0.063521,850

Spread0.001Mid0.004

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.003940940
0.0021,3202,260
0.00178,46180,721

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.997940940
0.9981,3202,260
0.99978,46180,721

Spread0.001Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.996905905
0.9951461,051
0.9903751,426
0.9811501,576
0.980201,596
0.965231,619
0.960401,659
0.95951,664
0.950151,679
0.94851,684
0.9401131,798
0.937521,850

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
planktonXDYes6,535.75
Tony10Yes2,460.34
balthazarYes934.79
donthackmeYes701.92
AJSVYes649.63
AnimalEaterYes635.73
can111Yes570.18
nova.superYes500
MaitredeceremonieYes500
Z91EXYes300
HerrieDavisYes258.64
crossFiterYes250
2B9SYes170
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Yes150
0x5533…51baYes130.66
ghorrockYes130.29
JordanMooneyYes126
BikesAreTheBikesYes108.69
jensondYes106.59
SpringlyFawlYes102.2

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:43:03SELLYes0.0031$0.00
15:27:31BUYNo0.99738$37.89
14:01:10BUYNo0.99791$90.78
14:01:10BUYNo0.99791$90.78
14:01:10BUYNo0.99730$29.91
14:01:10BUYNo0.99710$9.97
03:34:21BUYNo0.99740$39.88
01:52:23SELLYes0.00333$0.10
00:58:23SELLYes0.00392$0.28
00:57:53BUYNo0.99792$91.72
00:57:53BUYNo0.99799$98.70
00:57:51BUYNo0.99725$24.72
00:57:51SELLYes0.00347$0.14
00:57:51SELLYes0.00378$0.23
00:57:51BUYNo0.99725$24.93
00:57:50BUYNo0.99766$65.55
00:57:50BUYNo0.997322$321.04
23:55:18BUYNo0.99720$19.94
08:58:39BUYNo0.99799$98.70
08:58:25BUYNo0.99740$39.88
08:58:24BUYNo0.9976$6.03
08:58:24BUYNo0.99740$39.88
08:58:24SELLYes0.00340$0.12
22:25:47SELLYes0.00353$0.16
22:25:23BUYNo0.99740$39.88