Tony10
0x4274f0b063e370d2ad4f444f8027bcd425e3ba73
- Realised P&L
- $-115.31
- Volume
- $82.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,497
- Open portfolio
- $183.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,497
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.65at 0.508Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12PM ET
- +$18.62at 0.740Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3AM ET
- +$17.33at 0.475Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7PM ET
- +$15.90at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8AM ET
- +$15.27at 0.454Ethereum Up or Down - August 14, 10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 16:07 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $16.63 |
| 10-07 16:05 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.09 |
| 10-07 16:05 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $3.80 |
| 10-07 16:04 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 16:03 | Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.20 |
| 10-07 16:03 | Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $15.00 |
| 10-07 16:01 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.39 |
| 10-07 16:00 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 15:59 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.062 | $10.40 |
| 10-07 15:58 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $19.60 |
| 10-07 15:57 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.688 | $40.59 |
| 04-07 14:40 | Madrid: Elina Avanesyan vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia | BUY | 0.25 | $1.19 |
| 04-07 14:24 | Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublik | BUY | 0.89 | $4.42 |
| 04-07 14:23 | Monza: Martin Landaluce vs Federico Arnaboldi | BUY | 0.61 | $2.98 |
| 04-04 17:24 | Sao Leopoldo: Gustavo Heide vs Hugo Dellien | BUY | 0.19 | $0.90 |