PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

nova.super

0x6c5516610077bdfefa05b5036c5e4bd63bd5a595

Realised P&L
$52.95
Volume
$37.2k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$3.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$1.50$0.90
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$0.74$0.25
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0050.004$0.49$0.21
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0200.005$0.30$0.89
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0180.015$0.24$0.06
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 04:52Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.021$1.44
08-01 07:02Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.018$0.11
08-01 00:04Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.021$3.57
07-29 23:50Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.025$6.25
07-29 18:13Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.0406998$2.03
07-28 18:31Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.021$2.10
07-27 23:38Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.029$3.10
07-27 23:33Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.002$0.53
07-27 23:08Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.04$16.40
07-26 19:05Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.042$1.68
07-24 21:23Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.005$0.50
07-17 17:27Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.003$0.05
07-16 08:43Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.022$2.53
07-15 05:34Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.0308298182$3.39
07-13 23:34Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.023$0.05