nova.super
0x6c5516610077bdfefa05b5036c5e4bd63bd5a595
- Realised P&L
- $52.95
- Volume
- $37.2k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $3.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $1.50 | −$0.90 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $0.74 | −$0.25 |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.004 | $0.49 | −$0.21 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.005 | $0.30 | −$0.89 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.015 | $0.24 | −$0.06 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.15at 0.021Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$12.88at 0.013Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
- +$8.54at 0.002Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$7.18at 0.002Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$1.89at 0.016Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 04:52 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.021 | $1.44 |
| 08-01 07:02 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.11 |
| 08-01 00:04 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.021 | $3.57 |
| 07-29 23:50 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.025 | $6.25 |
| 07-29 18:13 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.0406998 | $2.03 |
| 07-28 18:31 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.021 | $2.10 |
| 07-27 23:38 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.029 | $3.10 |
| 07-27 23:33 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.53 |
| 07-27 23:08 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $16.40 |
| 07-26 19:05 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.042 | $1.68 |
| 07-24 21:23 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.50 |
| 07-17 17:27 | Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.05 |
| 07-16 08:43 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.022 | $2.53 |
| 07-15 05:34 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.0308298182 | $3.39 |
| 07-13 23:34 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.05 |