Maitredeceremonie
0x74b6d9afde7aa01aa7428b014d3265a3099e134b
- Realised P&L
- $58.73
- Volume
- $24.6k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $98.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.50at 0.090US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$34.67at 0.029Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
- +$11.28at 0.470United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$11.00at 0.020Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$9.05at 0.260Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 00:28 | Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.0032472107 | $3.94 |
| 07-08 22:10 | Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0106595299 | $25.00 |
| 07-08 21:41 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.1013916329 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 21:32 | Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0069999993 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 11:30 | Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.007 | $5.25 |
| 07-08 11:29 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $5.40 |
| 07-08 11:26 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.025 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 11:25 | Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.007 | $8.40 |
| 07-06 22:50 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 11:55 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0289999724 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 14:24 | Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 05-17 19:35 | Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 19:29 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 04-15 10:27 | Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.051 | $1.53 |
| 04-08 22:04 | Will Trump say "Macron" or "France" during events with Rutte? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.90 |