PolyBot

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Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.76. down 0.04 over the period, from 0.80. Range 0.70 to 0.80. 142 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.79510510
0.841,0681,577
0.884912,068
0.89492,117
0.9262,123
0.93862,209
0.94832,292
0.951002,392
0.96252,417
0.9772,424
0.982812,705
0.991702,875

Spread0.07Mid0.76

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.721818
0.711331
0.691143
0.6160103
0.2520123
0.1460183
0.13100283
0.1020303
0.096308
0.08250558
0.06417975
0.055001,475

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.281818
0.291331
0.311143
0.3960103
0.7520123
0.8660183
0.87100283
0.9020303
0.916308
0.92250558
0.94417975
0.955001,475

Spread0.07Mid0.24

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.21510510
0.161,0681,577
0.124912,068
0.11492,117
0.0862,123
0.07862,209
0.06832,292
0.051002,392
0.04252,417
0.0372,424
0.022812,705
0.011702,875

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
mw97Yes2,437.17
johnyjoYes390
0nk0nf0rm0dYes180
0xBB0880974B38A31f0F0D00ee0179de69417a639C-1782811062499Yes73.27
RadioCCODYes51.19
Milin-dcYes20
TemuOracleYes5
IserlohnCYes1.28
troimNo2,000
DerDonNo681.27
MrMarketNo280
xtxpleasecallmeNo75
0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998No60
0x1AAc8DA953333450DF04882210D047583F2B66FB-1774010861675No32.11
romanew-cryptoNo18.42
crossFiterNo11.11

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
10:59:34BUYNo0.255$1.25
10:46:47BUYNo0.210$2.00
06:07:07BUYYes0.827181985960$50.00
23:26:50SELLYes0.81$0.95
14:57:32BUYYes0.841$1.00
14:56:54BUYYes0.78820623922,437$1920.99
14:09:41BUYYes0.7850$39.00
09:31:50BUYYes0.779999989113$10.00
01:22:41BUYNo0.310$3.00
16:53:14SELLYes0.6530$19.50
00:36:29BUYNo0.44160$70.40
13:36:20BUYYes0.781$1.00
12:52:00BUYYes0.820$16.00
15:58:57BUYYes0.7960$47.40
15:07:58BUYYes0.8180$64.80
09:07:54BUYYes0.81100$81.00
19:32:03BUYYes0.81100$81.00
09:33:32BUYNo0.3850$19.00
08:45:05BUYNo0.35160$56.00