0nk0nf0rm0d
0xb93e593149b39a99018f0bd12d41dbb7f827195e
- Realised P&L
- $294.51
- Volume
- $131.3k
- Markets traded
- 174
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded174
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.545Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
- +$366.55at 0.220Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
- +$115.57at 0.894Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
- +$90.89at 0.180Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$77.88at 0.138Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 13:29 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.79 | $33.97 |
| 10-25 23:55 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | SELL | 0.5285251492 | $31.00 |
| 10-25 23:53 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.83 | $170.98 |
| 10-25 23:41 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $65.99 |
| 10-25 23:40 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 10-25 23:27 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.937 | $74.96 |
| 10-25 23:23 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $93.19 |
| 10-25 23:21 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $48.36 |
| 10-25 23:20 | Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | SELL | 0.5033764925 | $99.92 |
| 10-20 22:24 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.87 | $23.09 |
| 10-20 18:33 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.26 | $187.20 |
| 10-20 18:31 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.174 | $117.43 |
| 10-20 12:33 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 10-20 12:33 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 10-20 12:33 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.60 |