0nk0nf0rm0d
0xb93e593149b39a99018f0bd12d41dbb7f827195e
- Realised P&L
- $225.16
- Volume
- $47.3k
- Markets traded
- 117
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded117
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$369.70at 0.213Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
- +$119.70at 0.890Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
- +$90.89at 0.180Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$83.12at 0.133Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
- +$80.14at 0.791Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $34.69 |
| 08-02 11:42 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $49.00 |
| 08-01 12:46 | Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? | BUY | 0.7033184501 | $24.00 |
| 08-01 12:44 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.37 | $24.99 |
| 08-01 12:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.6295410826 | $68.59 |
| 08-01 12:24 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.37 | $69.43 |
| 08-01 11:18 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8866793856 | $60.00 |
| 08-01 11:17 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.089999996 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 11:17 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.37 | $28.93 |
| 08-01 11:16 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | SELL | 0.3503403908 | $51.46 |
| 08-01 11:15 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.3699999926 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 11:15 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8867615433 | $25.00 |
| 08-01 11:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999992 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 11:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.47 | $116.19 |
| 08-01 11:11 | Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | SELL | 0.8699430554 | $97.77 |