PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0nk0nf0rm0d

0xb93e593149b39a99018f0bd12d41dbb7f827195e

Realised P&L
$225.16
Volume
$47.3k
Markets traded
117
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded117
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · Yes0.3400.365$712.36+$48.82
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.3510.385$624.23+$55.50
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.8090.835$502.31+$15.65
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.5130.600$288.03+$41.63
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.8120.875$165.99+$11.91
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.4990.605$121.21+$21.21
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? · No0.7600.755$99.34$0.66
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6100.655$91.43+$6.29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.8870.715$68.54$16.46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.4450.470$67.30+$3.60
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.3800.200$53.69$48.32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3100.205$44.97$23.03
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.3470.190$43.70$36.05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? · Yes0.6290.255$27.78$40.81
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.5100.565$27.70+$2.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 11:43US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.53$34.69
08-02 11:42US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.19$49.00
08-01 12:46Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?BUY0.7033184501$24.00
08-01 12:44Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.37$24.99
08-01 12:26Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.6295410826$68.59
08-01 12:24Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.37$69.43
08-01 11:18US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.8866793856$60.00
08-01 11:17Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUY0.089999996$20.00
08-01 11:17Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.37$28.93
08-01 11:16Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?SELL0.3503403908$51.46
08-01 11:15Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.3699999926$30.00
08-01 11:15US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.8867615433$25.00
08-01 11:13US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3799999992$200.00
08-01 11:12US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.47$116.19
08-01 11:11Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?SELL0.8699430554$97.77