TemuOracle
0xe7a05852cd33e6959ddd2fdaab0a284ab37869ae
- Realised P&L
- $60.02
- Volume
- $20.6k
- Markets traded
- 554
- Open portfolio
- $145.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded554
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.25at 0.420Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
- +$26.40at 0.876Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
- +$22.42at 0.468Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
- +$20.07at 0.331Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?
- +$17.06at 0.540Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $0.75 |
| 09-25 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 09-24 21:57 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.29 |
| 09-24 21:18 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-24 20:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-24 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.993 | $19.86 |
| 09-24 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.35 |
| 09-24 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-24 05:34 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 09-24 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-24 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-23 18:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 09-23 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.94 | $5.04 |
| 09-23 18:49 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.13 |