PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xBB0880974B38A31f0F0D00ee0179de69417a639C-1782811062499

0xbb0880974b38a31f0f0d00ee0179de69417a639c

Realised P&L
$134.62
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$588.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration96.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6490.715$220.21+$20.21
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6780.705$107.03+$4.03
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.9210.720$89.85−$25.15
Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026? · Yes0.8190.755$55.32−$4.68
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.020$40.14−$59.86
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1060.123$23.30+$3.30
Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% in 2026? · Yes0.1400.170$12.14+$2.14
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · Yes0.2700.300$11.11+$1.11
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0950.102$10.68+$0.68
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1300.125$9.62−$0.38
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? · Yes0.0820.050$6.12−$3.88
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.0360.041$3.38+$0.38
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$1.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 09:22Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1059999996$10.00
10-29 09:22Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1059999996$10.00
10-29 09:22Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0949999999$10.00
10-29 09:21Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1299999999$10.00
10-22 06:07Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026?BUY0.8271819859$50.00
10-22 06:05Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6699999993$100.00
10-22 06:05Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6799999978$100.00
10-21 09:32Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% in 2026?BUY0.1399999989$10.00
10-21 09:31Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?BUY0.269999993$10.00
10-21 09:31Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026?BUY0.7799999891$10.00
10-16 12:15Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?BUY0.1034239213$1.00
10-15 14:43Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?BUY0.0359999997$3.00
10-15 06:56Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?BUY0.2699999995$45.00
10-15 06:54Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?BUY0.2699999995$45.00
10-09 09:02Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6299999685$3.00