0xBB0880974B38A31f0F0D00ee0179de69417a639C-1782811062499
0xbb0880974b38a31f0f0d00ee0179de69417a639c
- Realised P&L
- $134.62
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $588.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$240.71at 0.278Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?
- +$8.63at 0.107Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
- +$-10.37at 0.070Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on July 3, 2026?
- +$-51.62at 0.197Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on July 3, 2026?
- +$-51.70at 0.153Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on July 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 09:22 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1059999996 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 09:22 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1059999996 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 09:22 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0949999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 09:21 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 06:07 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026? | BUY | 0.8271819859 | $50.00 |
| 10-22 06:05 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 10-22 06:05 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999978 | $100.00 |
| 10-21 09:32 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 09:31 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 09:31 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999891 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 12:15 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | BUY | 0.1034239213 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 14:43 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0359999997 | $3.00 |
| 10-15 06:56 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? | BUY | 0.2699999995 | $45.00 |
| 10-15 06:54 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? | BUY | 0.2699999995 | $45.00 |
| 10-09 09:02 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999685 | $3.00 |