mw97
0x36da5ca5d1d4b79f1c2ebbb09be8c13834568218
- Realised P&L
- $-467.53
- Volume
- $1.76M
- Markets traded
- 682
- Open portfolio
- $997.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded682
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · Yes | 0.496 | 0.270 | $978.85 | −$821.44 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.047 | $11.04 | +$0.94 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.245 | $5.70 | −$6.39 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? · Yes | 0.195 | 0.111 | $1.11 | −$0.84 |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.007 | $0.56 | +$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.1kat 0.001Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$2.8kat 0.058Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$1.6kat 0.333Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
- +$1.0kat 0.328Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
- +$934.50at 0.035Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.52 | $12.09 |
| 09-15 13:08 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.043 | $10.10 |
| 09-14 17:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | SELL | 0.7 | $24.65 |
| 09-13 21:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.6994655971 | $19.62 |
| 09-13 21:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.697 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 21:09 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.10 |
| 09-13 20:20 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.95 |
| 09-10 17:47 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.05 | $25.00 |
| 09-10 14:59 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.05 | $37.50 |
| 09-06 16:38 | Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.24 |
| 09-05 22:10 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | SELL | 0.0509685583 | $11.80 |
| 09-05 14:22 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 09-04 21:20 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.30 |
| 09-04 18:02 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.50 |
| 09-04 13:52 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $9.78 |