mw97
0x36da5ca5d1d4b79f1c2ebbb09be8c13834568218
- Realised P&L
- $210.09
- Volume
- $1.77M
- Markets traded
- 696
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded696
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026? · Yes | 0.788 | 0.755 | $1.8k | −$80.93 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · Yes | 0.496 | 0.300 | $1.1k | −$706.48 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.217 | 0.195 | $487.40 | −$55.78 |
| Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.070 | $140.00 | −$80.00 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.035 | $69.00 | −$23.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.041 | $40.50 | +$12.50 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.215 | $21.50 | +$2.50 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.051 | $12.10 | +$2.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.034 | $3.06 | +$1.53 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% in 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.170 | $1.46 | −$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.058Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$1.6kat 0.333Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
- +$1.0kat 0.328Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
- +$934.50at 0.035Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?
- +$757.61at 0.354US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 17:53 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.58 | $116.00 |
| 10-30 17:09 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $200.00 |
| 10-29 22:27 | Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $93.62 |
| 10-29 22:25 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $545.16 |
| 10-29 22:25 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $197.29 |
| 10-28 21:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.03 | $3.60 |
| 10-22 14:04 | Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.015972 | $1.28 |
| 10-22 14:04 | Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.0317260548 | $1.59 |
| 10-21 14:57 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.046 | $92.00 |
| 10-21 14:56 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026? | BUY | 0.7882062392 | $1.9k |
| 10-18 20:21 | Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 16:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-29 16:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.05 |
| 09-25 22:06 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 09-24 00:05 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |