PolyBot

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Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-04
Resolves by
https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.06. up 0.00 over the period, from 0.05. Range 0.05 to 0.06. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.071111
0.08343354
0.10263617
0.12286903
0.131,0001,903
0.151602,063
0.167132,776
0.3552,781
0.571002,881
0.581383,019
0.594353,454
0.7853,459

Spread0.03Mid0.06

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0455
0.03144149
0.021,0151,164
0.011,7762,940

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9655
0.97144149
0.981,0151,164
0.991,7762,940

Spread0.03Mid0.95

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.931111
0.92343354
0.90263617
0.88286903
0.871,0001,903
0.851602,063
0.847132,776
0.6552,781
0.431002,881
0.421383,019
0.414353,454
0.2253,459

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xE1a36f6D9F8D14a6237134067aBE3830C87B24EA-1775598809791Yes4,600.82
RadioCCODYes1,379.87
0xddc193985802B390CFA4AefAb94Fe4051dc976c3-1773989045219Yes713.23
cocococococoYes657.15
PhongLeXBTYes631
SpyVsSpyYes402.49
LocchioDiBenficaYes263.33
NaudwayYes200
goatbossYes200
2B9SYes198
AikosYes166.67
0x8060C07b8Dbd20c2e416D9f63d9F730a9c0b8873-1783057530798Yes142.86
0xBB0880974B38A31f0F0D00ee0179de69417a639C-1782811062499Yes122.37
lacuna-m1Yes100
HeatzzyyYes85.44
TagtraeumerYes83.33
NoPasaran5Yes76.48
DMSRemyLucyYes66.67
seanchewYes58.82
0x0ab1435a32D29583772d6f4317b838eD8cC07017-1772214186459Yes57.86

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:16:03BUYYes0.0677549921631$42.75
01:06:06BUYYes0.059999999583$5.00
17:32:34BUYYes0.06130$7.80
03:07:17BUYYes0.0650$3.00
02:32:06BUYYes0.06100$6.00
15:01:00BUYNo0.96099070088$8.00
10:05:48BUYYes0.069135802358$4.00
14:44:08BUYYes0.055$0.25
14:37:44BUYNo0.9613$12.00
03:35:50SELLNo0.930500075200$186.07
15:53:18BUYNo0.960396024416$15.00
13:36:35SELLNo0.94629$591.26
13:36:27SELLNo0.9599$94.22
12:49:41SELLYes0.03178$5.35
15:56:38SELLNo0.95400$379.99
19:59:14SELLYes0.0374$2.21
19:59:12SELLYes0.03172$5.15
19:59:05SELLYes0.0327378500$16.37
12:08:24BUYYes0.0817201176122$10.00
15:52:39BUYYes0.0610$0.60
08:15:08BUYNo0.9530$28.50
19:51:06BUYYes0.07252880751,379$100.00
12:24:33BUYYes0.079466839585$6.79
09:28:22SELLYes0.0410$0.40
07:23:06SELLNo0.9430$28.20