PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Naudway

0x09aef134fadeb10b2dfa766fb5b0ba2f5a23004e

Realised P&L
$-4.0k
Volume
$218.9k
Markets traded
680
Open portfolio
$400.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded680
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.255$127.50+$57.50
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · Yes0.3900.255$51.00$27.00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2230.165$49.50$17.50
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0350.034$33.50$1.50
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? · Yes0.1040.030$30.80$74.65
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.3500.230$23.00$12.00
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0140.007$22.50$19.50
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? · Yes0.1000.055$11.00$9.00
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.095$9.50$11.50
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1000.055$8.24$6.75
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1160.026$7.80$26.90
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.038$7.70+$0.10
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.025$6.13$13.88
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0390.030$6.00$1.80
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.015$3.75$13.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 20:38Cardinals vs. ChargersBUY0.7$21.00
09-13 19:10Bears vs. PanthersBUY0.73$7.30
09-13 18:33Bears vs. PanthersBUY0.53$15.90
09-13 18:27Bears vs. PanthersBUY0.54$5.40
09-13 18:08Bears vs. PanthersBUY0.61$6.10
09-13 17:47Falcons vs. SteelersBUY0.6$12.00
09-13 17:46Falcons vs. SteelersBUY0.6$18.00
09-13 17:39Falcons vs. SteelersBUY0.61$18.30
09-13 17:11Bears vs. PanthersBUY0.44$8.80
09-13 17:07Ravens vs. ColtsBUY0.54$5.40
09-12 17:27Oklahoma vs. MichiganBUY0.35$3.50
09-12 17:27Oklahoma vs. MichiganBUY0.35$3.50
09-12 17:20Oklahoma vs. MichiganBUY0.4$4.00
09-06 13:47Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AC Monza: Parma Calcio 1913 O/U 0.5BUY0.52$5.20
07-31 03:45Boston Red Sox vs. AthleticsSELL0.79$44.30