PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Naudway

0x09aef134fadeb10b2dfa766fb5b0ba2f5a23004e

Realised P&L
$-4.6k
Volume
$217.7k
Markets traded
695
Open portfolio
$449.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded695
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0350.074$74.50+$39.50
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.165$66.00+$10.00
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · Yes0.3900.320$64.00−$14.00
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0140.021$61.50+$19.50
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5300.595$59.50+$6.50
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.3500.320$32.00−$3.00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2230.105$31.50−$35.50
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? · Yes0.1040.017$17.17−$88.28
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? · Yes0.1000.050$10.00−$10.00
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1160.021$6.15−$28.55
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.055$5.50−$15.50
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.026$5.30−$2.30
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1000.035$5.17−$9.82
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.017$4.13−$15.88
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0390.015$3.10−$4.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 19:20Blackhawks vs. BruinsBUY0.29$2.90
10-10 22:40Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.39$39.00
10-09 02:01Buccaneers vs. CowboysBUY0.64$6.40
09-20 20:34Browns vs. BuccaneersBUY0.54$27.00
09-20 20:17Eagles vs. TitansSELL0.999$169.81
09-20 20:16Browns vs. BuccaneersBUY0.53$45.05
09-20 20:14Browns vs. BuccaneersBUY0.53$53.00
09-20 20:08Browns vs. BuccaneersBUY0.53$26.50
09-13 20:38Cardinals vs. ChargersBUY0.7$21.00
09-13 19:10Bears vs. PanthersBUY0.73$7.30
09-13 18:33Bears vs. PanthersBUY0.53$15.90
09-13 18:27Bears vs. PanthersBUY0.54$5.40
09-13 18:08Bears vs. PanthersBUY0.61$6.10
09-13 17:47Falcons vs. SteelersBUY0.6$12.00
09-13 17:46Falcons vs. SteelersBUY0.6$18.00