seanchew
0x458f07972b0f27876fde185604150f429fda4792
- Realised P&L
- $85.67
- Volume
- $22.6k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $46.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$78.33at 0.060US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$66.24at 0.073Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$13.23at 0.154US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$13.14at 0.124Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
- +$11.42at 0.266Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 12:13 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 12:12 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999503 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 11:53 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.50 |
| 10-04 11:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 13:07 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.40 |
| 09-30 13:04 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.2399999952 | $4.00 |
| 09-27 07:55 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027? | BUY | 0.7299999416 | $3.00 |
| 09-27 07:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 06:06 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299998532 | $3.80 |
| 09-06 06:06 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 06:05 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $15.00 |
| 09-06 06:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.50 |
| 09-06 06:03 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 06:02 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 06:02 | Will Zcash reach $1400 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999741 | $2.50 |