PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

seanchew

0x458f07972b0f27876fde185604150f429fda4792

Realised P&L
$85.67
Volume
$22.6k
Markets traded
124
Open portfolio
$46.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded124
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.7900.971$8.36+$1.56
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.3100.835$8.08+$5.08
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · Yes0.2000.055$4.13−$10.88
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.7100.830$3.51+$0.51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · No0.3700.635$3.43+$1.43
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? · Yes0.1700.050$2.94−$7.06
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.1900.050$2.61−$7.39
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9290.973$2.10+$0.09
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? · No0.9790.979$2.00−$0.00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9040.980$1.90+$0.15
Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31? · No0.8800.871$1.29−$0.01
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.2400.075$1.25−$2.75
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1500.032$1.05−$3.95
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5100.049$0.96−$9.04
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.0900.026$0.87−$2.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 12:13Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.003$1.00
10-07 12:12Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.7099999503$3.00
10-04 11:53Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.003$1.50
10-04 11:52Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.998$2.00
09-30 13:07Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.997$4.40
09-30 13:04Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.2399999952$4.00
09-27 07:55Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?BUY0.7299999416$3.00
09-27 07:54Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.339999985$5.00
09-06 06:06Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.9299998532$3.80
09-06 06:06Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6299999181$2.00
09-06 06:05OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?BUY0.2$15.00
09-06 06:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$3.50
09-06 06:03Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.3699999112$2.00
09-06 06:02Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.149999976$5.00
09-06 06:02Will Zcash reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5399999741$2.50