0xE1a36f6D9F8D14a6237134067aBE3830C87B24EA-1775598809791
0xe1a36f6d9f8d14a6237134067abe3830c87b24ea
- Realised P&L
- $-10.4k
- Volume
- $1.01M
- Markets traded
- 319
- Open portfolio
- $315.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded319
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.1410 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
- +$1.3kat 0.367Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 7?
- +$1.3kat 0.605US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$911.76at 0.388Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
- +$718.33at 0.106Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 10:22 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.0712979792 | $92.20 |
| 08-19 23:04 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? | BUY | 0.1136042267 | $98.39 |
| 08-19 22:42 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? | BUY | 0.077848198 | $100.00 |
| 08-18 01:42 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026? | BUY | 0.078919892 | $21.92 |
| 08-18 01:41 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999969 | $20.00 |
| 08-18 01:40 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? | BUY | 0.0636363625 | $50.00 |
| 08-18 01:40 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026? | BUY | 0.0546727426 | $50.00 |
| 08-15 23:48 | Will Trump attend UFC 330? | BUY | 0.0206815254 | $16.87 |
| 08-14 18:48 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.1632208911 | $100.00 |
| 08-14 18:41 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.1562817447 | $100.00 |
| 08-12 02:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 12? | BUY | 0.0846292403 | $23.80 |
| 08-12 02:23 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 12? | BUY | 0.0548911304 | $50.00 |
| 08-12 02:21 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.027 | $77.44 |
| 08-12 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 12? | BUY | 0.001 | $6.93 |
| 08-12 01:35 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 12? | BUY | 0.4281430861 | $100.00 |