0x8060C07b8Dbd20c2e416D9f63d9F730a9c0b8873-1783057530798
0x8060c07b8dbd20c2e416d9f63d9f730a9c0b8873
- Realised P&L
- $-31.58
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $392.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.42at 0.976Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$24.82at 0.801Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$18.76at 0.680Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$14.36at 0.582Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$9.23at 0.520Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 06:11 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.6699999966 | $14.00 |
| 08-01 20:11 | The Polymarket Classic: Winner | SELL | 0.88 | $11.00 |
| 08-01 15:10 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 15:10 | The Polymarket Classic: Winner | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 09:22 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.955 | $3.07 |
| 08-01 09:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.15 | $6.25 |
| 08-01 09:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.9399999997 | $70.00 |
| 08-01 06:10 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $10.23 |
| 08-01 06:09 | Situational Awareness Anthropic sale confirmed by August 31? | SELL | 0.95 | $11.72 |
| 07-31 11:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $55.00 |
| 07-31 11:16 | Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 11:14 | Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0329999997 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 11:03 | Situational Awareness Anthropic sale confirmed by August 31? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 10:59 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999573 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 10:58 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9749999244 | $10.00 |