0xddc193985802B390CFA4AefAb94Fe4051dc976c3-1773989045219
0xddc193985802b390cfa4aefab94fe4051dc976c3
- Realised P&L
- $41.62
- Volume
- $24.9k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $56.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.050 | $35.66 | −$79.74 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · Yes | 0.419 | 0.325 | $20.93 | −$6.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.58at 0.205NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers
- +$27.40at 0.143Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
- +$26.46at 0.161US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$3.93at 0.015Trump out as President by April 30?
- +$0.65at 0.510US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 05:47 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999947 | $25.46 |
| 05-01 02:37 | NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers | SELL | 0.2350447447 | $26.79 |
| 04-29 03:26 | NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.3599998915 | $1.46 |
| 04-29 03:25 | NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 04-29 03:25 | NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 04-29 03:25 | NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 04-29 03:23 | NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.3656126297 | $10.00 |
| 04-29 03:01 | NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers | SELL | 0.64 | $42.72 |
| 04-22 00:28 | NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.2001461988 | $13.03 |
| 04-12 18:10 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.42 |
| 04-09 19:48 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 05:45 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 02:53 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.00 |
| 04-08 22:41 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.0060000001 | $1.00 |
| 04-04 00:57 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? | BUY | 0.1631448753 | $109.35 |