PolyBot

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Traders

Aikos

0x56f1f9023191501309aa58bef04dac56c59d485c

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$125.9k
Markets traded
351
Open portfolio
$152.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded351
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? · Yes0.1200.085$14.17$5.83
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.1800.255$14.17+$4.17
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · Yes0.5180.365$14.09$5.91
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2150.038$12.55$57.45
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0270.025$9.41$0.59
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.2700.235$8.70$1.30
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1440.115$7.96$2.04
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? · Yes0.1180.045$7.60$12.40
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.075$7.50$2.50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1100.040$7.18$12.82
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.1300.068$5.23$4.77
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3400.175$5.15$4.85
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.0860.029$5.12$9.88
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1280.037$4.38$10.62
100kt meteor strike in 2026? · Yes0.0690.029$4.28$5.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 06:58Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.08$20.00
06-02 05:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.001$0.13
05-24 18:00Iran closes its airspace by May 24?BUY0.1379999829$6.00
05-17 09:50Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?BUY0.04$10.00
05-17 09:50Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?BUY0.0651150356$10.00
05-17 09:50Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?BUY0.0139999986$10.00
05-17 09:48Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.0330000001$10.00
05-17 09:48Iran closes its airspace by May 21?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
05-17 09:48Iran closes its airspace by May 18?BUY0.0330000001$10.00
05-17 08:52Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?BUY0.5182563048$20.00
05-17 08:51Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?BUY0.1199999952$20.00
05-16 15:05Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.179999987$10.00
05-16 15:04Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.16$10.00
05-16 15:04Will Serbia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0098145444$10.00
05-16 15:04Will Ukraine come in last place at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0053662636$10.00