PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Aikos

0x56f1f9023191501309aa58bef04dac56c59d485c

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$125.9k
Markets traded
351
Open portfolio
$127.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded351
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.2700.365$13.52+$3.52
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1440.180$12.47+$2.47
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0270.025$9.44$0.56
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? · Yes0.1200.055$9.17$10.83
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · Yes0.5180.235$9.07$10.93
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1100.041$7.45$12.55
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1490.095$6.37$3.63
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2150.017$5.38$64.62
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.0860.030$5.30$9.70
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3400.165$4.85$5.15
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.0290.013$4.67$5.33
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.045$4.50$5.50
100kt meteor strike in 2026? · Yes0.0690.030$4.36$5.64
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.073$4.17$15.83
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1280.032$3.74$11.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 06:58Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.08$20.00
06-02 05:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.001$0.13
05-24 18:00Iran closes its airspace by May 24?BUY0.1379999829$6.00
05-17 09:50Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?BUY0.04$10.00
05-17 09:50Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?BUY0.0651150356$10.00
05-17 09:50Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?BUY0.0139999986$10.00
05-17 09:48Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.0330000001$10.00
05-17 09:48Iran closes its airspace by May 21?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
05-17 09:48Iran closes its airspace by May 18?BUY0.0330000001$10.00
05-17 08:52Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?BUY0.5182563048$20.00
05-17 08:51Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?BUY0.1199999952$20.00
05-16 15:05Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.179999987$10.00
05-16 15:04Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.16$10.00
05-16 15:04Will Serbia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0098145444$10.00
05-16 15:04Will Ukraine come in last place at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0053662636$10.00