PolyBot

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Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by September 30, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.043. up 0.006 over the period, from 0.036. Range 0.026 to 0.053. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.065297297
0.06640337
0.06780417
0.068100517
0.87937554
0.88063617
0.910104721
0.9396727
0.9403561,083
0.9502061,289
0.9603051,594
0.9704382,032

Spread0.045Mid0.043

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0208484
0.0111498
0.01016114
0.00548161
0.004485647
0.0031,0191,666
0.0024832,149
0.001622,211

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9808484
0.9891498
0.99016114
0.99548161
0.996485647
0.9971,0191,666
0.9984832,149
0.999622,211

Spread0.045Mid0.958

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.935297297
0.93440337
0.93380417
0.932100517
0.12137554
0.12063617
0.090104721
0.0616727
0.0603561,083
0.0502061,289
0.0403051,594
0.0304382,032

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes113.51
S888Yes84
Numitus1994Yes42.56
cacatoYes20
Dr.PNLYes15.72
bechamelYes15
79fsdfsYes13.06
lolzzzlolYes7.5
suntoriYes5.76
empty-dogYes3.22
0x8a63bE6F97A1dC4E83f5B2A7C19D4E6Yes1.38
nchgbhyNo146
yoyobb2018No100
kz-530No35
intelligence98No21.09
hithitfarNo8.26
homakiNo6
tradetosurvive1No3
xixihaha009No1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
10:51:25SELLNo0.94813$11.85
19:03:24BUYNo0.974632653149$47.76
19:02:51BUYNo0.968392156951$49.39
08:45:15BUYNo0.9581712329146$139.89
16:08:01SELLNo0.94110$9.63
07:19:36BUYNo0.976999999310$10.00
05:17:45SELLNo0.9419$8.68
19:53:46BUYNo0.97599999839$9.00
22:06:52SELLYes0.02112$0.26
10:56:09SELLNo0.9311$0.98
19:46:40BUYNo0.9320$18.60
19:27:52SELLYes0.041$0.02
18:29:04SELLYes0.0323$0.69
11:57:01SELLNo0.943$2.82
11:51:27SELLNo0.9419$17.84
11:49:00SELLYes0.0315$0.45
11:45:15SELLYes0.0616$0.93
11:45:12SELLYes0.0716$1.09
11:45:10SELLYes0.0716$1.09
11:26:48BUYNo0.9221$19.40
10:42:37BUYNo0.90999999720$18.32
10:42:37SELLYes0.0919$1.72
09:51:49SELLYes0.0915$1.35
09:45:21SELLNo0.8920$17.80
09:43:27SELLNo0.96$4.95