cacato
0xd6df99cedecd9ae5cf7b9f830a5d8ca59cc0d71d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $70.6k
- Markets traded
- 967
- Open portfolio
- $0.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded967
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.68at 0.102Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$22.50at 0.050Will $LAPTOP reach $5 by September 30, 2026?
- +$17.50at 0.150LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?
- +$16.45at 0.530Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
- +$16.00at 0.430Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 16:33 | Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.50 |
| 10-28 16:28 | Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.74 |
| 10-28 16:28 | Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.92 |
| 10-28 16:27 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | SELL | 0.58 | $1.46 |
| 10-28 16:27 | Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $1.63 |
| 10-28 16:27 | Will it snow in Nashville, TN by November 30? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.20 |
| 10-28 09:53 | Will Jan Hruška be the next Mayor of Liberec? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.08 |
| 10-28 09:53 | Daejon Love pleads guilty to federal crime by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.053 | $1.06 |
| 10-28 09:53 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be 900,000 or more? | SELL | 0.0127503752 | $0.25 |
| 10-28 09:52 | Will Ondřej Talíř be the next Mayor of České Budějovice? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.16 |
| 10-28 09:52 | Will Villarreal reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 10-28 09:52 | Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31? | SELL | 0.053 | $2.65 |
| 10-28 09:52 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.38 |
| 10-28 09:52 | Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 10-28 09:52 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 45%-50%? | SELL | 0.222 | $4.44 |