PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8a63bE6F97A1dC4E83f5B2A7C19D4E6

0x8a63beba250609a6f97a458704f18994d2df1c02

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$110.6k
Markets traded
4,299
Open portfolio
$14.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,299
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? · No0.6800.782$3.53+$0.46
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? · No0.6710.535$2.40−$0.61
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next? · Yes0.6590.328$1.31−$1.33
Will Ramiro Árciga (Tijuana) record the most assists in the 2027 Liga MX Clausura? · Yes0.1950.028$1.14−$6.81
Will Ellis Robinson IV be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Yes0.2000.056$1.14−$2.94
Will Byrum Brown be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Yes0.2100.051$1.05−$3.23
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? · No0.8420.835$0.85−$0.01
Will The Seven Deadly Sins: Origin win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.1650.022$0.68−$4.32
Will Ilia Malinin be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? · Yes0.2320.032$0.65−$4.08
Will Mike Maignan (Milan) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Serie A season? · Yes0.5200.237$0.31−$0.37
Will Igor Paixão (Marseille) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season? · Yes0.2100.015$0.31−$3.98
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.1110.048$0.23−$0.31
Will Łukasz Skorupski (Bologna) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Serie A season? · Yes0.3600.011$0.22−$7.12
Will Cairn win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.2070.004$0.16−$8.30
Will Petar Musa win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? · Yes0.0000.111$0.14+$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 08:40Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETBUY0.3499999527$1.85
10-10 08:40Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETBUY0.3699999488$1.95
10-10 08:36Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETBUY0.5899999458$3.05
10-10 08:35Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETBUY0.819999875$4.20
10-10 08:16Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.7199999844$3.70
10-10 08:11Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.82$4.20
10-10 08:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETBUY0.6899999514$3.55
10-10 08:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETBUY0.2999999803$1.52
10-10 07:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.4$2.10
10-10 07:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETBUY0.4399999305$2.28
10-10 07:16Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETBUY0.6799999524$3.43
10-10 07:10Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.6099999322$3.15
10-10 07:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETBUY0.5199999692$2.70
10-10 07:06Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETBUY0.5299999137$2.64
10-10 07:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETBUY0.8699999883$4.45