PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kz-530

0x0ed45a8754f57633729cf430eba15ca12379c23b

Realised P&L
$132.10
Volume
$6.9k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$750.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8510.951$380.97+$39.87
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · No0.9200.963$144.45+$6.45
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · No0.7270.735$95.56+$1.07
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · No0.8900.915$91.50+$2.50
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by September 30, 2026? · No0.8900.958$33.51+$2.36
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.895$4.47$0.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET · Up0.3530.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Up0.0310.000$0.00$18.87
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6630.000$0.00$132.66
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET · Up0.6000.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET · Down0.7300.000$0.00$36.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 08:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETBUY0.73$36.50
09-16 08:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETSELL0.01$1.97
09-16 08:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.031124723$25.00
09-16 07:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.13$1.38
09-16 07:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.4699999944$5.00
09-16 07:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.5999999952$25.00
09-15 01:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.352636249$50.00
09-14 13:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.8908245075$200.00
09-14 10:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETBUY0.4399999986$50.00
09-14 10:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETBUY0.64$120.00
09-14 09:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETBUY0.92$100.00
09-14 09:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETBUY0.9$100.00
09-14 09:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETBUY0.9471585237$50.00
09-14 09:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETBUY0.9099999991$50.00
09-14 09:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETBUY0.86$43.00