PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

empty-dog

0x9f16feb66b8a4355528fd9eb1f6fceb989337013

Realised P&L
$9.0k
Volume
$2.10M
Markets traded
19,518
Open portfolio
$65.29

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19,518
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No0.0170.367$25.19+$24.00
Will Shas win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.0040.254$16.98+$16.69
Will Islam Makhachev fight Michael Morales next? · Yes0.0050.365$8.39+$8.27
Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.0020.028$2.99+$2.75
Will PP win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.0030.028$2.57+$2.32
Will the San Antonio Spurs make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament? · Yes0.0400.131$1.66+$1.15
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 40%-45%? · Yes0.0060.186$1.40+$1.36
Will Shas win 9% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.0030.005$0.96+$0.48
Will Shas win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.0070.021$0.95+$0.61
WTT Champions: Tomokazu Harimoto vs Simon Gauzy · Simon Gauzy0.0300.720$0.91+$0.87
Will the Houston Rockets make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament? · Yes0.0400.150$0.65+$0.48
Will Mahadi Aliyu Gusau win the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0090.034$0.53+$0.39
Will PNV win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.0400.080$0.35+$0.18
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000? · Yes0.0080.053$0.28+$0.23
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 6%-9%? · Yes0.0060.034$0.23+$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:16Will the Charlotte Hornets make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament?SELL0.42$0.10
11-01 14:04Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 30% or more?SELL0.013$0.11
10-30 23:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?SELL0.99$4.95
10-26 19:19Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?SELL0.061$0.34
10-26 12:17Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election?SELL0.041$0.21
10-25 09:25Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election?SELL0.037$0.02
10-23 04:19Will Shas win 9% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.014$0.05
10-22 21:53SSV Jeddeloh II vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 1.5SELL0.05$0.25
10-22 12:32Will UNI dip to $4.00 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$0.49
10-19 13:53Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?SELL0.04$0.26
10-18 21:36Will no Lemonade Stand episode air?SELL0.222$13.05
10-18 15:30Lisbon (Doubles): Jecan/Kielan vs Kalender/KarolSELL0.37$0.38
10-17 19:10Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 22?SELL0.06$0.33
10-17 05:58Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be less than 2,200,000?SELL0.039$0.20
10-14 18:16Santa Cruz 2: Franco Roncadelli vs Juan Carlos PradoSELL0.25$0.26