PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.086. up 0.031 over the period, from 0.055. Range 0.011 to 0.169. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1293131
0.1301344
0.1362064
0.1373094
0.13840134
0.141106240
0.1615245
0.21945290
0.22020310
0.573150460
0.574100560
0.58030590

Spread0.086Mid0.086

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0434444
0.0423378
0.040100178
0.0108186
0.00446232
0.0037238
0.002216454
0.0017691,223

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9574444
0.9583378
0.960100178
0.9908186
0.99646232
0.9977238
0.998216454
0.9997691,223

Spread0.086Mid0.914

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8713131
0.8701344
0.8642064
0.8633094
0.86240134
0.859106240
0.8395245
0.78145290
0.78020310
0.427150460
0.426100560
0.42030590

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Quarrelsome-BranchYes154
Dr.PNLYes134.34
LornaPredictsYes84.87
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes30
0x3a9d…f332Yes25
AJSVYes20.64
doctorno99Yes20.44
braindanceYes20
0xd45b…7ae6Yes20
suvorovvYes18.33
tradetosurvive1Yes15
0xd0d9…30f2Yes10
cocononoYes9
lantiqueYes5
tryrktryYes5
Numitus1994Yes1.36
Rox44No312.91
0xa5ef…2966No236.58
pppnnNo13.37
GuyFromTinderNo9

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:34:57BUYYes0.152999996720$3.03
23:34:04BUYNo0.84911$9.34
12:32:48BUYYes0.16120$3.22
00:15:04SELLNo0.83120$16.62
21:35:48BUYNo0.88799931091$1.00
21:35:46BUYNo0.8886$4.88
21:30:45BUYYes0.1318$2.38
21:30:42BUYYes0.1320$2.66
21:30:39BUYYes0.1170$7.70
20:56:27BUYYes0.125$2.50
20:56:27BUYYes0.110$1.00
20:56:27BUYYes0.15$0.50
19:28:28BUYYes0.01144$0.48
05:25:01SELLYes0.021$0.03
15:07:49BUYYes0.15$0.50
15:07:49BUYYes0.15$0.50
02:15:49SELLYes0.210$0.09
02:06:54BUYNo0.795$3.95
02:06:54BUYNo0.796$4.74
00:39:57SELLYes0.2235$7.70
23:28:18SELLYes0.1515$2.25
23:17:12SELLYes0.1520$3.00
23:13:12SELLYes0.165$0.80
20:27:52SELLYes0.1620$3.20
20:27:49SELLYes0.1720$3.40