doctorno99
0x4e2de27450ab8222b3cad8353731779c6f304936
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $33.3k
- Markets traded
- 327
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded327
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$133.82at 0.531Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$92.31at 0.520Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?
- +$89.84at 0.640Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
- +$88.24at 0.340Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
- +$73.97at 0.528Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 02:43 | Will Trump say "Healthcare" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Montana? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.89 |
| 10-15 02:43 | Will Trump say "Healthcare" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Montana? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.17 |
| 10-15 02:15 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.5 | $21.81 |
| 10-15 02:11 | Will Trump say "Suicide" during his Midterm Rally in Montana? | BUY | 0.99 | $6.28 |
| 10-15 01:56 | Will Trump say "Great Falls" during his Midterm Rally in Montana? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.07 |
| 10-15 01:49 | Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Montana? | BUY | 0.98 | $7.15 |
| 10-15 01:15 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.26 | $3.03 |
| 10-15 00:50 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.11 |
| 10-15 00:41 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.49 | $8.27 |
| 10-15 00:33 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.49 |
| 10-15 00:33 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.25 | $3.84 |
| 10-15 00:30 | Will Trump say "Great Falls" during his Midterm Rally in Montana? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.25 |
| 10-15 00:26 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.51 | $7.81 |
| 10-15 00:05 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.54 | $0.94 |
| 10-14 23:41 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.27 | $3.36 |