Rox44
0x4138065c69134ea0fcfd13f8664a818dafbf6a24
- Realised P&L
- $-9.8k
- Volume
- $378.7k
- Markets traded
- 555
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded555
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.499Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
- +$745.44at 0.786Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-03?
- +$580.39at 0.401Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?
- +$578.62at 0.860Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?
- +$521.62at 0.277GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 20:00 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.868 | $42.52 |
| 09-18 15:53 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in September? | BUY | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 09-18 02:49 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? | BUY | 0.53 | $37.10 |
| 09-18 02:49 | Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.25 |
| 09-18 02:48 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? | SELL | 0.48 | $96.91 |
| 09-18 00:33 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in September? | BUY | 0.68 | $124.42 |
| 09-18 00:02 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.268438159 | $21.64 |
| 09-18 00:01 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.27 | $32.40 |
| 09-18 00:00 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.16 | $13.28 |
| 09-17 23:48 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.262 | $2.39 |
| 09-17 23:47 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 09-17 23:46 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.26 | $10.40 |
| 09-17 23:46 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.16 | $23.11 |
| 09-17 23:45 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.16 | $43.52 |
| 09-17 23:44 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | SELL | 0.84 | $201.56 |