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Traders

Rox44

0x4138065c69134ea0fcfd13f8664a818dafbf6a24

Realised P&L
$-9.8k
Volume
$378.7k
Markets traded
555
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded555
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in September? · No0.7400.700$480.69$27.38
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in September 2026? · No0.7300.875$273.95+$45.53
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? · No0.7880.910$191.10+$25.50
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026? · No0.1440.175$187.08+$33.48
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Yes0.2640.310$173.60+$25.80
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Yes0.1600.260$145.46+$55.95
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026? · No0.3590.974$91.92+$57.99
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.2810.700$87.73+$52.54
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Yes0.2510.208$85.73$17.44
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? · Yes0.5300.715$50.05+$12.95
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.8680.878$43.04+$0.51
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · No0.9090.925$42.56+$0.74
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.9480.978$39.10+$1.18
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · No0.8800.934$31.06+$1.80
Will Claude go down 11-13 times in September? · No0.9160.910$30.35$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 20:00Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?BUY0.868$42.52
09-18 15:53Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in September?BUY0.69$13.80
09-18 02:49Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?BUY0.53$37.10
09-18 02:49Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September?SELL0.025$0.25
09-18 02:48Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?SELL0.48$96.91
09-18 00:33Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in September?BUY0.68$124.42
09-18 00:02Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.268438159$21.64
09-18 00:01Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.27$32.40
09-18 00:00Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.16$13.28
09-17 23:48Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.262$2.39
09-17 23:47Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.27$27.00
09-17 23:46Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.26$10.40
09-17 23:46Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.16$23.11
09-17 23:45Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.16$43.52
09-17 23:44Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?SELL0.84$201.56
Trader Rox44 · PolyBot Pro