PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.52. down 0.07 over the period, from 0.58. Range 0.20 to 0.64. 163 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.525151
0.53120171
0.5491262
0.5520282
0.5620302
0.5720322
0.5820342
0.5920362
0.605367
0.615372
0.625377
0.635382

Spread0.01Mid0.52

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.512020
0.503555
0.4970125
0.4873198
0.47110308
0.46140448
0.4220468
0.285473
0.2320493
0.22454947
0.212801,227
0.08101,237

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.492020
0.503555
0.5170125
0.5273198
0.53110308
0.54140448
0.5820468
0.725473
0.7720493
0.78454947
0.792801,227
0.92101,237

Spread0.01Mid0.48

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.485151
0.47120171
0.4691262
0.4520282
0.4420302
0.4320322
0.4220342
0.4120362
0.405367
0.395372
0.385377
0.375382

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
LosingEverything12312312323123Yes490
0x1AAc8DA953333450DF04882210D047583F2B66FB-1774010861675Yes100
Y4n4polYes100
St3fYes90
FihdrzgddYes30
2B9SYes20
KindnessCountsYes8.33
0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519Yes5
fElonNo305
lucid-NEXUS-happyIRLNo259.02
AJSVNo99
GuyFromTinderNo28.33
pootytherewardfarmerNo22
0x2091…b784No20
CazfanelNo20
lolzzzlolNo20
0x7ea5…254dNo20
gfdgfvfvssddNo20
cigarettesNo20
0xbb90…2335No10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:43:06BUYYes0.519500474320$10.40
14:43:06SELLNo0.4959$28.91
14:19:16SELLNo0.520$10.00
14:19:13BUYYes0.486666666760$29.20
14:17:34SELLNo0.53120$63.60
14:15:30BUYYes0.4291891892370$158.80
11:16:45BUYYes0.41100$41.00
11:12:09BUYYes0.490$36.00
10:47:34SELLNo0.620$12.00
10:47:07SELLNo0.61188$114.68
10:46:58SELLNo0.63540$25.40
10:46:46BUYNo0.5701587302378$215.52
09:38:42BUYNo0.5520$11.00
09:38:40SELLNo0.5520$11.00
09:38:07BUYNo0.5260$31.20
07:39:09SELLNo0.6120$12.20
14:43:29BUYNo0.5820$11.60
04:40:46BUYYes0.4720$9.40
08:15:20BUYYes0.3144$13.64
08:10:01SELLNo0.6920$13.80
08:09:40BUYNo0.55170$93.50
17:13:04BUYYes0.540$20.00
13:15:17BUYYes0.542$21.00
10:34:44BUYYes0.4720$9.40
10:34:43SELLYes0.4620$9.20