0x7ea5ce0307b13bc93ff5dba22a1c574333b5254d
0x7ea5ce0307b13bc93ff5dba22a1c574333b5254d
- Realised P&L
- $-14.03
- Volume
- $348.00
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $32.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GPT Sol's output price be at or above $15 in 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.560 | $11.20 | −$3.20 |
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No | 0.560 | 0.490 | $9.80 | −$1.40 |
| North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.370 | $7.40 | −$1.20 |
| Will "Hoppers" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.440 | $4.40 | −$2.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.80at 0.300Will "The Birthday Gift" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$5.60at 0.220Will Javier Calvo be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$5.40at 0.230Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?
- +$5.20at 0.240Will Axis Robotics launch a token by November 30, 2026?
- +$1.00at 0.450Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?