Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.066. down 0.017 over the period, from 0.083. Range 0.066 to 0.085. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.082	50	50
0.083	61	111
0.084	100	211
0.085	16	227
0.086	69	296
0.087	161	457
0.088	144	601
0.089	240	841
0.092	330	1,171
0.093	100	1,271
0.094	230	1,501
0.097	100	1,601

Spread0.032Mid0.066

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.050	100	100
0.043	137	237
0.042	254	491
0.041	818	1,309
0.040	490	1,799
0.039	78	1,877
0.037	6	1,883
0.031	162	2,045
0.030	708	2,752
0.020	100	2,852
0.011	300	3,152
0.010	501	3,653

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.950	100	100
0.957	137	237
0.958	254	491
0.959	818	1,309
0.960	490	1,799
0.961	78	1,877
0.963	6	1,883
0.969	162	2,045
0.970	708	2,752
0.980	100	2,852
0.989	300	3,152
0.990	501	3,653

Spread0.032Mid0.934

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.918	50	50
0.917	61	111
0.916	100	211
0.915	16	227
0.914	69	296
0.913	161	457
0.912	144	601
0.911	240	841
0.908	330	1,171
0.907	100	1,271
0.906	230	1,501
0.903	100	1,601

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
eNakeVets	Yes	3,839.91
smap	Yes	1,580.06
Giannis2026	Yes	918.12
TreepleA	Yes	811.04
studmuffin6969	Yes	730.78
Cold070	Yes	600.65
0xD35694160B7Bc6F734aB2e95072686ACEb1A963d-1770830259364	Yes	532.44
kittycat67	Yes	522
lineth	Yes	407
marlonvb	Yes	360.83
BeefDerky	Yes	312.17
Lawaa	Yes	295
TheBigMuscle	Yes	231.86
LatinaConqueror	Yes	200
0x702226B14B65B1c8d05fF51759e095f09932F64e-1770071899262	Yes	180.02
0x56d804d0c0eA6F58fE53a02601e5f9c2Cdc8EC4D-1769634023719	Yes	178.86
cowcat	Yes	178.04
Hyperlong	Yes	166.96
Olifa	Yes	165.07
0x3554…f07a	Yes	142.68

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
06:37:05	SELL	Yes	0.05	20	$1.00
06:27:15	SELL	Yes	0.06	10	$0.60
06:27:14	SELL	Yes	0.061	10	$0.61
06:27:12	SELL	Yes	0.061	20	$1.22
06:27:11	BUY	No	0.9338127604	214	$199.49
04:15:38	SELL	Yes	0.068	3	$0.22
04:15:26	BUY	No	0.9299999979	10	$9.00
04:08:27	SELL	No	0.933	6	$6.00
01:02:26	BUY	No	0.933999981	6	$6.00
00:57:20	BUY	No	0.933999981	6	$6.00
07:34:12	SELL	No	0.922	20	$18.44
07:34:11	BUY	Yes	0.069	50	$3.45
21:46:18	BUY	Yes	0.069	16	$1.08
06:01:59	BUY	Yes	0.067	15	$1.01
06:01:51	BUY	No	0.9327142857	105	$97.93
05:27:57	SELL	Yes	0.066	10	$0.66
05:27:36	SELL	Yes	0.066	30	$1.98
05:27:35	SELL	Yes	0.066	30	$1.98
05:27:33	SELL	Yes	0.067	20	$1.34
05:27:21	BUY	No	0.9287064	200	$185.74
05:26:42	BUY	No	0.9197369743	32	$29.30
02:46:02	BUY	No	0.9189999967	8	$7.00
01:42:05	SELL	No	0.915	11	$9.96
22:31:26	BUY	No	0.9189999947	11	$10.00
17:07:23	SELL	No	0.915	8	$7.00