0x56d804d0c0eA6F58fE53a02601e5f9c2Cdc8EC4D-1769634023719
0x56d804d0c0ea6f58fe53a02601e5f9c2cdc8ec4d
- Realised P&L
- $41.19
- Volume
- $269.76
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $102.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar15.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration88.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? · No | 0.534 | 1.000 | $90.91 | +$42.32 |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.066 | $11.80 | −$38.20 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 02:48 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.5345049813 | $48.59 |
| 01-28 21:10 | Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.279552713 | $50.00 |