0xD35694160B7Bc6F734aB2e95072686ACEb1A963d-1770830259364
0xd35694160b7bc6f734ab2e95072686aceb1a963d
- Realised P&L
- $657.87
- Volume
- $502.5k
- Markets traded
- 294
- Open portfolio
- $633.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded294
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$262.56at 0.192Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$156.84at 0.254Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$111.75at 0.710US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$96.87at 0.750US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$93.76at 0.340Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 04:14 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $12.00 |
| 10-26 11:15 | Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 10-17 00:49 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.8 | $12.00 |
| 10-11 19:09 | Will Chase Briscoe win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Bank of America 400? | BUY | 0.8 | $7.10 |
| 10-10 21:37 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $12.00 |
| 10-09 07:13 | Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.3299999942 | $12.00 |
| 10-07 16:50 | Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $12.00 |
| 10-07 08:47 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 800,000 and 850,000? | BUY | 0.8789999997 | $12.00 |
| 10-06 19:35 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in October? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 12:34 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.64 | $12.00 |
| 10-06 11:13 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.794999992 | $12.00 |
| 10-05 20:20 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.66899999 | $12.00 |
| 10-05 19:50 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999879 | $12.00 |
| 10-05 07:23 | Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | BUY | 0.32 | $8.43 |
| 10-04 18:29 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 25%-30%? | BUY | 0.7209999837 | $12.00 |