0xD35694160B7Bc6F734aB2e95072686ACEb1A963d-1770830259364
0xd35694160b7bc6f734ab2e95072686aceb1a963d
- Realised P&L
- $307.96
- Volume
- $500.3k
- Markets traded
- 202
- Open portfolio
- $634.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded202
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$262.56at 0.192Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$156.84at 0.254Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$111.75at 0.710US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$96.87at 0.750US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$93.76at 0.340Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 11:31 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.48 | $12.00 |
| 09-02 10:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 3? | BUY | 0.7399999938 | $12.00 |
| 09-01 16:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.8199999385 | $12.00 |
| 09-01 01:10 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5389999995 | $12.00 |
| 08-31 20:14 | Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 08-28 02:15 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8499999929 | $12.00 |
| 08-27 16:27 | Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0647082445 | $12.00 |
| 08-24 04:18 | Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 08-23 04:06 | Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999848 | $12.00 |
| 08-22 10:35 | Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8 | $12.00 |
| 08-19 23:15 | Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $12.00 |
| 08-19 15:53 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $12.00 |
| 08-19 15:24 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.833999989 | $12.00 |
| 08-19 08:51 | Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8739999983 | $12.00 |
| 08-17 18:05 | Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series? | BUY | 0.359 | $11.13 |