0x702226B14B65B1c8d05fF51759e095f09932F64e-1770071899262
0x702226b14b65b1c8d05ff51759e095f09932f64e
- Realised P&L
- $-6.3k
- Volume
- $1.73M
- Markets traded
- 2,060
- Open portfolio
- $83.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,060
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.0kat 0.185US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$3.9kat 0.197Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$3.5kat 0.200Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.260US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$2.8kat 0.206Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:39 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.05 |
| 10-05 17:39 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.07 |
| 10-05 17:39 | Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.01 |
| 10-05 17:39 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.32 |
| 10-05 17:39 | Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.30 |
| 10-05 17:39 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.044 | $0.02 |
| 10-05 17:39 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.24 |
| 10-05 17:39 | Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.83 |
| 10-05 17:39 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.85 |
| 10-05 17:39 | Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.02 |
| 10-05 17:39 | Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 17:39 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.79 |
| 10-05 17:39 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.22 |
| 10-05 17:39 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $2.88 |
| 10-05 17:39 | Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat? | SELL | 0.92 | $3.68 |