PolyBot

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Traders

0x702226B14B65B1c8d05fF51759e095f09932F64e-1770071899262

0x702226b14b65b1c8d05ff51759e095f09932f64e

Realised P&L
$-6.3k
Volume
$1.73M
Markets traded
2,060
Open portfolio
$83.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,060
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.3210.075$36.59−$119.82
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? · No0.8860.930$19.05+$0.89
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.2420.061$10.95−$32.53
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.3300.045$10.76−$68.06
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.2060.085$4.68−$6.64
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1550.043$1.03−$2.67
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat? · Yes0.1300.051$0.63−$1.00
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0300.001$0.03−$1.66
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.3000.001$0.01−$3.00
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$1.18
Will Russell McAlmond be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.82
Epstein client list released by June 30? · Yes0.1440.000$0.00−$16.95
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · No0.4440.000$0.00−$80.75
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.3130.000$0.00−$10.52
Will Jon Bonck be the Republican Nominee for TX-38? · No0.1270.000$0.00−$5.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 17:39Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$0.05
10-05 17:39Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?SELL0.07$0.07
10-05 17:39Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?SELL0.013$0.01
10-05 17:39Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?SELL0.27$1.32
10-05 17:39Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.81$0.30
10-05 17:39China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?SELL0.044$0.02
10-05 17:39Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.35$0.24
10-05 17:39Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?SELL0.83$0.83
10-05 17:39Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?SELL0.72$0.85
10-05 17:39Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?SELL0.018$0.02
10-05 17:39Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?SELL0.6$1.00
10-05 17:39Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?SELL0.94$1.79
10-05 17:39Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?SELL0.08$0.22
10-05 17:39New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.93$2.88
10-05 17:39Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?SELL0.92$3.68