PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

permaphrost

0x355436cb12f38b9527d75397504af6a97ad8f07a

Realised P&L
$-7.06
Volume
$388.73
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$56.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration76.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8800.973$43.24+$4.11
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.3140.066$9.42−$35.43
Will Noah Wyle (The Pitt) win Best Actor – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes? · Yes0.9201.000$2.00+$0.16
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1260.028$1.62−$5.84
Will Trump deport less than 250,000? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$1.57
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.02
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00−$5.63

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-01 22:19Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.12$0.83
02-01 22:19Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.12$0.83
02-01 22:19Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.12$0.83
02-01 22:00Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.313$9.23
02-01 22:00Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.313$9.23
02-01 22:00Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.313$9.23
02-01 22:00Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.313$9.23
02-01 21:34Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.313$3.87
02-01 17:24Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?BUY0.001$0.01
02-01 15:48Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?BUY0.001$0.01
02-01 00:38Will Trump deport less than 250,000?BUY0.032$0.06
01-31 23:05Will Trump deport less than 250,000?BUY0.05$0.50
01-31 22:56Will Trump deport less than 250,000?BUY0.05$0.50
01-31 22:03US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.02$0.57
01-31 21:59Will Trump deport less than 250,000?BUY0.0505$0.51