PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Lawaa

0xf65b6a8b4df58974acbb672262503e424c68675c

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$93.4k
Markets traded
137
Open portfolio
$76.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded137
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0700.036$54.75−$50.25
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.3390.066$19.47−$80.51
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0570.024$2.35−$3.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Down0.5080.000$0.00−$50.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Up0.0750.000$0.00−$15.00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? · No0.0480.000$0.00−$12.98
Epstein client list released in 2025? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET · Up0.2830.000$0.00−$28.00
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? · No0.1500.000$0.00−$100.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00−$48.99
Nuggets vs. Spurs · Spurs0.0200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.14
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 7? · No0.1000.000$0.00−$100.00
US strike on Mexico by March 31? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$48.23
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during meeting with Netanyahu? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-23 23:13Lakers vs. PistonsSELL0.45$103.00
03-22 00:57Lakers vs. PistonsBUY0.4499999993$103.00
03-21 23:30Heat vs. RocketsBUY0.43$129.00
03-21 20:02Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?BUY0.1$190.00
03-19 23:28Lakers vs. HeatBUY0.4299999994$208.57
03-19 23:26China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?SELL0.15$208.27
03-18 15:26Trail Blazers vs. TimberwolvesBUY0.59$31.68
03-17 23:01Suns vs. TimberwolvesBUY0.6$226.59
03-17 00:17Warriors vs. WizardsSELL0.17$62.96
03-17 00:16Magic vs. HawksBUY0.1399999976$50.00
03-16 23:16Warriors vs. WizardsBUY0.2699999983$100.00
03-16 02:32Warriors vs. KnicksBUY0.1699999952$27.00
03-15 21:52Pistons vs. RaptorsBUY0.1199999922$13.00
03-15 21:09Pistons vs. RaptorsBUY0.4299999985$95.00
03-15 18:05Timberwolves vs. ThunderBUY0.61$292.80