Cold070
0x5cab16203fe2b10e3f46285a3c046ff1d5e27222
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $182.9k
- Markets traded
- 326
- Open portfolio
- $86.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded326
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.156Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
- +$794.87at 0.131Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$560.14at 0.220Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?
- +$495.03at 0.296Will Trump say "Tampon" at his press conference?
- +$434.05at 0.282Will Kamala Harris say "Inflation" 3 or more times during Friday speech?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-08 18:37 | Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game? | BUY | 0.2199772377 | $115.01 |
| 02-08 18:33 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.33 | $115.00 |
| 02-05 13:38 | Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game? | BUY | 0.1399999932 | $17.17 |
| 02-05 13:37 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $17.17 |
| 02-05 13:36 | Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game? | BUY | 0.1399999922 | $14.01 |
| 02-05 13:35 | Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 02-05 13:35 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $24.00 |
| 01-31 06:10 | Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.3655168447 | $145.73 |
| 01-31 06:09 | Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.3006175951 | $100.00 |
| 01-24 19:42 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26? | BUY | 0.5199999964 | $57.28 |
| 01-23 13:38 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.1 | $140.00 |
| 01-20 14:12 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $40.00 |
| 01-08 13:53 | Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? | BUY | 0.3799999901 | $16.84 |
| 01-08 13:30 | Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? | BUY | 0.3799999987 | $100.00 |
| 01-07 00:15 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.3299999978 | $60.00 |