marlonvb
0xcee5c6ba23ac7acb037be07b4ea2752f419ca06e
- Realised P&L
- $-100.00
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $92.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration74.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.030 | $68.18 | −$181.82 |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes | 0.369 | 0.066 | $23.81 | −$109.54 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-20 14:12 | Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.3695727074 | $133.35 |
| 01-20 14:09 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999984 | $100.00 |
| 01-20 14:08 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999996 | $250.00 |