studmuffin6969
0xa8af4c7923857533b687df9bf02115156e3a325e
- Realised P&L
- $132.7k
- Volume
- $18.67M
- Markets traded
- 1,949
- Open portfolio
- $75.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,949
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.1kat 0.230Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$30.6kat 0.084Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$8.1kat 0.181Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
- +$7.6kat 0.090Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$6.8kat 0.690Will a Democrat win Hawaii Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:49 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $483.50 |
| 08-01 18:54 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.5k |
| 07-29 19:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July? | BUY | 0.992 | $39.68 |
| 07-29 19:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $18.93 |
| 07-29 19:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $555.76 |
| 07-27 19:48 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.45 | $90.00 |
| 07-27 17:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.42947 | $128.84 |
| 07-27 17:04 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $355.00 |
| 07-26 18:29 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.974 | $9.74 |
| 07-24 16:28 | Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.09 | $45.00 |
| 07-22 07:29 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.4k |
| 07-21 16:44 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $993.00 |
| 07-20 23:10 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $278.65 |
| 07-19 07:42 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.409 | $1.6k |
| 07-16 07:44 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $130.00 |