studmuffin6969
0xa8af4c7923857533b687df9bf02115156e3a325e
- Realised P&L
- $135.8k
- Volume
- $18.76M
- Markets traded
- 1,963
- Open portfolio
- $80.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,963
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.1kat 0.230Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$30.4kat 0.084Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$8.1kat 0.181Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
- +$7.6kat 0.090Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$6.6kat 0.700Will a Democrat win Hawaii Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 22:40 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.53 | $795.00 |
| 08-25 20:38 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $2.5k |
| 08-19 02:30 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.944114 | $1.9k |
| 08-17 22:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $300.00 |
| 08-17 06:17 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.319 | $95.70 |
| 08-17 06:13 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.992 | $2.0k |
| 08-06 18:02 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $830.00 |
| 08-04 19:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.987 | $348.05 |
| 08-04 19:03 | Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $26.04 |
| 08-03 20:02 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.937 | $140.51 |
| 08-02 18:49 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $483.50 |
| 08-01 18:54 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.5k |
| 07-29 19:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July? | BUY | 0.992 | $39.68 |
| 07-29 19:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $18.93 |
| 07-29 19:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $555.76 |