PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

studmuffin6969

0xa8af4c7923857533b687df9bf02115156e3a325e

Realised P&L
$132.7k
Volume
$18.67M
Markets traded
1,949
Open portfolio
$75.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,949
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7670.795$13.5k+$482.16
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9020.925$9.2k+$230.04
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.8540.934$9.2k+$795.17
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.2170.824$5.0k+$3.7k
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8590.875$4.8k+$88.66
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.9200.925$4.6k+$25.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.7190.745$3.7k+$127.40
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · No0.9710.984$2.5k+$31.60
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.6410.695$2.0k+$157.22
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9100.945$1.9k+$70.00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4530.445$1.5k$28.29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9140.982$1.2k+$84.38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.3550.435$1.2k+$218.75
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.585$1.2k+$589.99
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9531.000$999.50+$46.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 18:49Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?BUY0.967$483.50
08-01 18:54Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.74$1.5k
07-29 19:54Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?BUY0.992$39.68
07-29 19:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?BUY0.997$18.93
07-29 19:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?BUY0.996$555.76
07-27 19:48Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?BUY0.45$90.00
07-27 17:05US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.42947$128.84
07-27 17:04US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.71$355.00
07-26 18:29Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.974$9.74
07-24 16:28Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.09$45.00
07-22 07:29Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.72$1.4k
07-21 16:44Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?BUY0.993$993.00
07-20 23:10Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?SELL0.68$278.65
07-19 07:42Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.409$1.6k
07-16 07:44Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.65$130.00