PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2027-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.040. down 0.025 over the period, from 0.065. Range 0.035 to 0.067. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0511818
0.052100118
0.090100218
0.10312230
0.130100330
0.149119450
0.150114564
0.16413576
0.19088664
0.24425689
0.24645734
0.24720754

Spread0.022Mid0.040

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.029159159
0.02836195
0.027106301
0.02652353
0.02587440
0.02447487
0.023159646
0.022118764
0.021224987
0.0201051,092
0.0191351,227
0.0181051,332

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.971159159
0.97236195
0.973106301
0.97452353
0.97587440
0.97647487
0.977159646
0.978118764
0.979224987
0.9801051,092
0.9811351,227
0.9821051,332

Spread0.022Mid0.960

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9491818
0.948100118
0.910100218
0.89712230
0.870100330
0.851119450
0.850114564
0.83613576
0.81088664
0.75625689
0.75445734
0.75320754

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
PMMMRYes6,000.23
DEGENKHANYes4,458.86
amused85Yes3,218.88
gopfan2Yes3,016.63
0x4e25…d7a7Yes2,574
DoomPosting-EnjoyerYes1,000
troimYes999.99
PassiveStrikeYes585.39
donthackmeYes442.49
RazirbackYes280.12
dshaYes250.25
MARW-2026-PiotrYes250
hetaczYes200
FlashTradeOracleYes200
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934Yes160
wozaitaibeiYes150
2B9SYes135
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes119.46
animal.beanYes100
DavidbillYes100

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:19:36SELLYes0.03510$0.35
19:02:37BUYNo0.963100$96.30
17:18:36SELLYes0.0383$0.11
15:27:30BUYYes0.0495$0.24
15:26:37BUYYes0.0495$0.24
15:24:09BUYYes0.0495$0.24
07:21:43BUYNo0.96116$15.20
16:22:27SELLNo0.923791612138$35.24
18:45:54SELLYes0.060078144397$5.83
09:12:34SELLYes0.0557884323131$7.33
02:21:57SELLNo0.9075$4.34
00:53:21SELLYes0.06138$2.32
18:15:03BUYNo0.92414$12.94
18:14:57BUYYes0.08510$0.84
18:14:33BUYNo0.9150$0.09
14:38:51SELLYes0.085340425589$7.62
22:35:45BUYNo0.895999999413$11.67
22:35:45BUYNo0.895999995620$17.93
22:35:43BUYNo0.89628$25.02
22:35:43BUYNo0.89599999897$6.70
22:35:43BUYNo0.89620$17.95
22:35:43BUYNo0.89640$35.84
08:53:36SELLYes0.06938703174$5.10
08:53:10SELLYes0.07405100$7.41
07:23:04BUYNo0.89405710$8.94