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Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.091. up 0.007 over the period, from 0.084. Range 0.057 to 0.111. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1036262
0.104567
0.1101077
0.13573150
0.13640190
0.13970260
0.140249509
0.15710519
0.15813531
0.17730561
0.17813575
0.1829583

Spread0.023Mid0.091

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.080229229
0.06621250
0.0375256
0.036234490
0.035114604
0.03178682
0.02989771
0.0272291,000
0.0261261,126
0.025871,212
0.024471,259
0.0221181,377

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.920229229
0.93421250
0.9635256
0.964234490
0.965114604
0.96978682
0.97189771
0.9732291,000
0.9741261,126
0.975871,212
0.976471,259
0.9781181,377

Spread0.023Mid0.909

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8976262
0.896567
0.8901077
0.86573150
0.86440190
0.86170260
0.860249509
0.84310519
0.84213531
0.82330561
0.82213575
0.8189583

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
PMMMRYes6,000.23
DEGENKHANYes4,466.55
amused85Yes4,191.99
gopfan2Yes3,016.63
0x4e25…d7a7Yes2,574
DoomPosting-EnjoyerYes1,000
PassiveStrikeYes585.39
donthackmeYes449.09
RazirbackYes280.12
dshaYes250.25
MARW-2026-PiotrYes250
TomTurboYes248.85
hetaczYes200
FlashTradeOracleYes200
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934Yes160
wozaitaibeiYes150
2B9SYes135
animal.beanYes100
qWOprt7Yes82.98
0xE459C0388ee5bC1C6CbE9f59d3fe1A87f3992F27-1782399154089Yes80.16

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:21:47BUYNo0.92220$18.53
07:21:15BUYNo0.92115$13.63
05:38:03SELLYes0.075$0.35
04:47:38SELLYes0.08252$4.29
19:18:30BUYYes0.11199996827$3.00
17:37:03SELLYes0.08420$1.69
14:14:03BUYNo0.91120$18.31
04:13:32SELLYes0.1115$0.56
21:00:36BUYYes0.11514187780$9.23
06:32:05SELLYes0.04226$1.09
06:27:39BUYNo0.93415$14.12
21:09:08BUYNo0.93399996411$10.73
20:12:41SELLNo0.926$5.58
15:38:52SELLYes0.0664$0.26
15:07:14SELLYes0.067733333315$1.02
10:07:02BUYYes0.111$1.10
07:40:52BUYNo0.869999995217$14.64
07:40:52BUYNo0.869999997520$17.54
07:38:33BUYYes0.137999946115$2.10
07:38:33SELLNo0.86250$43.10
20:22:46BUYYes0.099403578510$1.00
02:37:42BUYYes0.13599988587$1.00
15:09:13BUYYes0.052835525741$2.17
02:24:38BUYNo0.92950$46.45
17:13:37BUYYes0.045446667956$2.54