PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FlashTradeOracle

0xe196f409e71330371e9b9b7a4e09596ac04a0ab5

Realised P&L
$3.3k
Volume
$1.98M
Markets traded
5,128
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,128
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration44.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Yes0.1710.771$771.50+$601.00
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.3600.954$635.68+$395.40
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6030.957$190.31+$70.29
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.3190.475$106.62+$35.01
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.2900.500$100.00+$42.00
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.2800.091$91.00$188.50
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? · Yes0.2900.775$79.00+$49.44
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.2110.345$77.44+$30.09
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes0.2630.790$59.50+$39.69
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.2730.215$43.00$11.68
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? · Yes0.1220.041$41.00$81.00
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1900.00 and 1999.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0980.162$36.25+$14.32
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.2020.170$34.00$6.49
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? · Yes0.2070.235$23.91+$2.83
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? · Yes0.2460.915$18.68+$13.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-10 21:14Will Club The Strongest vs. Bamin Real Potosí end in a draw?BUY0.152$1.90
05-10 21:14Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-05-10?BUY0.75$9.38
05-10 21:14Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-05-10?BUY0.08$1.00
05-10 21:13Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-05-10?BUY0.0744856543$1.06
05-10 21:13Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-05-10?BUY0.76$10.86
05-10 21:13Will Club The Strongest vs. Bamin Real Potosí end in a draw?BUY0.15$2.14
05-10 20:49Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?BUY0.31$1.55
05-10 20:48Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?BUY0.3$2.78
05-10 20:48Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-10?BUY0.22$3.14
05-10 20:48Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-10?BUY0.46$6.57
05-10 12:37Will Bohemians Praha 1905 win on 2026-05-10?BUY0.2$10.17
05-10 12:37Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-05-10?BUY0.53$26.95
05-10 12:37Will SK Sigma Olomouc vs. Bohemians Praha 1905 end in a draw?BUY0.25$12.71
05-10 12:29Will NK Istra 1961 win on 2026-05-10?BUY0.3$11.70
05-10 12:29Will NK Osijek win on 2026-05-10?BUY0.4$15.60