Davidbill
0x6a2f0438131fb53ade99442ead13558eece87105
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $542.8k
- Markets traded
- 846
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded846
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$500.89at 0.750Atalanta BC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score
- +$490.71at 0.007Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
- +$378.16at 0.623Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$137.69at 0.122Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
- +$123.51at 0.748UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in September? | SELL | 0.999 | $105.91 |
| 09-15 22:43 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.961 | $384.40 |
| 09-08 23:27 | Will LAPTOP not launch by December 31? | BUY | 0.97 | $435.53 |
| 09-08 23:26 | Will LAPTOP launch on Base? | BUY | 0.972 | $486.00 |
| 09-08 23:26 | Will LAPTOP launch on Base? | BUY | 0.970722028 | $555.25 |
| 09-07 23:20 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $184.00 |
| 09-04 19:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.998 | $112.47 |
| 09-04 19:51 | Solana Up or Down - September 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 09-04 19:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.997 | $160.52 |
| 09-04 19:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $40.65 |
| 09-04 19:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.983 | $49.15 |
| 09-04 19:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $48.50 |
| 09-04 15:17 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.998 | $194.30 |
| 09-04 14:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9935 | $99.35 |
| 09-04 14:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.992 | $49.60 |