amused85
0x8fe70c889ce14f67acea5d597e3d0351d73b4f20
- Realised P&L
- $-119.0k
- Volume
- $20.76M
- Markets traded
- 5,395
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,395
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.4kat 0.250Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on November 8?
- +$16.0kat 0.229Bitcoin Up or Down on November 25?
- +$13.1kat 0.343Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 4?
- +$12.7kat 0.442Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
- +$12.6kat 0.409Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on November 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:27 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $60.00 |
| 09-17 20:08 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.037 | $2.22 |
| 09-17 20:07 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $7.50 |
| 09-17 20:07 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0450062299 | $48.33 |
| 09-17 14:27 | Will FK Dinamo Makhachkala vs. PFK CSKA Moskva end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29 | $87.00 |
| 09-17 14:26 | Will FK Akron Tolyatti vs. RFK Akhmat Groznyi end in a draw? | BUY | 0.28994 | $86.98 |
| 09-17 14:26 | Will FK Rostov vs. FK Dinamo Moskva end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29874 | $89.62 |
| 09-17 12:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.21 | $10.71 |
| 09-17 12:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.21 | $26.46 |
| 09-17 09:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 17? | BUY | 0.13 | $65.00 |
| 09-17 09:40 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 14:32 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $95.00 |
| 09-16 14:26 | Will AIK win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.6 | $180.00 |
| 09-16 10:56 | Will FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs. FK Zenit end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29 | $87.00 |
| 09-16 10:55 | Will FK Rodina Moskva vs. FK Rubin Kazan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.94 |