PolyBot

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Traders

amused85

0x8fe70c889ce14f67acea5d597e3d0351d73b4f20

Realised P&L
$-119.0k
Volume
$20.76M
Markets traded
5,395
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,395
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2670.295$442.50+$41.78
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.3100.185$370.00$250.00
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1760.180$270.00+$5.23
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3010.275$268.73$25.14
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · No0.2660.305$221.63+$28.54
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.2440.135$202.37$164.17
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.1350.056$180.26$255.84
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0440.041$113.10$10.63
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · No0.2480.300$90.61+$15.75
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.1600.075$75.00$85.00
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 · Yes0.0500.070$70.00+$20.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.1900.095$66.16$66.16
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.165$66.00+$6.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? · Yes0.2290.056$58.63$181.56
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes0.0560.036$54.75$29.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:27Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.15$60.00
09-17 20:08Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?BUY0.037$2.22
09-17 20:07Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?BUY0.05$7.50
09-17 20:07Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0450062299$48.33
09-17 14:27Will FK Dinamo Makhachkala vs. PFK CSKA Moskva end in a draw?BUY0.29$87.00
09-17 14:26Will FK Akron Tolyatti vs. RFK Akhmat Groznyi end in a draw?BUY0.28994$86.98
09-17 14:26Will FK Rostov vs. FK Dinamo Moskva end in a draw?BUY0.29874$89.62
09-17 12:01Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 17?BUY0.21$10.71
09-17 12:00Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 17?BUY0.21$26.46
09-17 09:59Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 17?BUY0.13$65.00
09-17 09:40Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026BUY0.05$50.00
09-16 14:32Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.19$95.00
09-16 14:26Will AIK win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.6$180.00
09-16 10:56Will FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs. FK Zenit end in a draw?BUY0.29$87.00
09-16 10:55Will FK Rodina Moskva vs. FK Rubin Kazan end in a draw?BUY0.29$1.94