MARW-2026-Piotr
0xb3265ed7799fe1c1102b77ad50d20bf51a79d18b
- Realised P&L
- $65.77
- Volume
- $19.0k
- Markets traded
- 220
- Open portfolio
- $502.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded220
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$138.74at 0.306Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$112.29at 0.358NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$88.00at 0.120Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?
- +$83.49at 0.165Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$72.41at 0.276Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 20:31 | Will Michael Olise (Bayern Munich) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? | BUY | 0.28 | $28.00 |
| 09-17 05:19 | Will Michael Olise (Bayern Munich) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? | SELL | 0.9155 | $91.55 |
| 09-16 20:42 | Will VfB Stuttgart qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.31 | $9.30 |
| 09-16 20:41 | Will RB Leipzig qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.34 | $10.20 |
| 09-16 20:41 | Will Bayer Leverkusen qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.41 | $12.30 |
| 09-16 20:39 | Blue tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.4349973333 | $32.62 |
| 09-16 19:19 | Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga? | BUY | 0.58 | $29.00 |
| 09-16 19:19 | Will SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga? | BUY | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 20:12 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.081 | $16.20 |
| 09-14 21:13 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? | BUY | 0.2130769231 | $13.85 |
| 09-11 18:58 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 35%? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 09-11 18:58 | Will Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.55 | $16.49 |
| 09-11 18:58 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to BSW or Grüne? | BUY | 0.59 | $14.75 |
| 09-11 18:49 | Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.446456 | $22.32 |
| 09-07 19:04 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? | BUY | 0.27 | $16.20 |