PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PassiveStrike

0x30a7df6c0b74e59f90bb0be1831f260c540602fa

Realised P&L
$248.60
Volume
$1.59M
Markets traded
370
Open portfolio
$6.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded370
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9140.959$2.0k+$93.55
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · No0.8600.973$1.9k+$221.21
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? · No0.9020.968$1.3k+$85.29
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? · No0.8480.953$768.23+$84.43
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · No0.9230.977$100.04+$5.48
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · Yes0.3950.095$58.70−$185.49
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0300.025$14.63−$3.15
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$4.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 23:46New COVID variant of concern before 2027?SELL0.8462182032$115.10
10-26 23:44AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?SELL0.973$272.01
10-26 23:43New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.9652870806$1.4k
10-26 23:41Ebola pandemic in 2026?SELL0.9736653956$1.5k
10-20 03:15Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?BUY0.0077859485$4.13
08-14 22:07Megaquake by August 31?BUY0.0784789292$61.83
08-03 21:32Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?BUY0.7780690774$67.13
08-03 14:24Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?BUY0.9209399451$915.50
08-01 20:00Will the Toronto Blue Jays clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?BUY0.09$38.14
08-01 19:59Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?BUY0.013$2.00
07-27 02:59Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?BUY0.9314940683$417.72
07-24 23:39Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?BUY0.012$7.91
07-13 14:33Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?BUY0.959$7.78
07-13 02:50Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?BUY0.86$46.99
07-13 02:18Ebola pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0256910934$31.78