PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PassiveStrike

0x30a7df6c0b74e59f90bb0be1831f260c540602fa

Realised P&L
$869.59
Volume
$1.59M
Markets traded
369
Open portfolio
$9.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded369
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9140.971$2.0k+$118.47
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · No0.8600.975$1.9k+$224.15
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · No0.9230.975$1.6k+$86.28
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.8700.945$1.3k+$105.00
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? · No0.9020.965$1.3k+$82.03
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? · No0.8480.915$737.98+$54.18
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.980$273.83+$13.84
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · Yes0.3950.270$166.85$77.35
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? · No0.7720.925$125.82+$20.86
Will the Toronto Blue Jays clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · Yes0.0900.220$93.24+$55.10
Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.0120.035$28.45+$18.54
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0300.035$20.78+$3.00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? · No0.0380.000$0.00$170.30
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan? · No0.0290.000$0.00$230.12
Megaquake by August 31? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$61.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-14 22:07Megaquake by August 31?BUY0.0784789292$61.83
08-03 21:32Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?BUY0.7780690774$67.13
08-03 14:24Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?BUY0.9209399451$915.50
08-01 20:00Will the Toronto Blue Jays clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?BUY0.09$38.14
08-01 19:59Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?BUY0.013$2.00
07-27 02:59Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?BUY0.9314940683$417.72
07-24 23:39Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?BUY0.012$7.91
07-13 14:33Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?BUY0.959$7.78
07-13 02:50Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?BUY0.86$46.99
07-13 02:18Ebola pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0256910934$31.78
07-11 21:24Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?BUY0.8799730331$63.31
07-05 23:53Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?BUY0.86$14.30
07-03 19:42Will Louis Varland be named to the AL All-Star Team at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?BUY0.9544144144$38.14
07-03 14:43Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?SELL0.1220306877$258.44
07-03 01:26Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?BUY0.1049616423$43.92