PassiveStrike
0x30a7df6c0b74e59f90bb0be1831f260c540602fa
- Realised P&L
- $869.59
- Volume
- $1.59M
- Markets traded
- 369
- Open portfolio
- $9.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded369
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.593Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$1.6kat 0.710Iran strike on US military by February 28?
- +$1.1kat 0.322Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$1.1kat 0.763US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$1.1kat 0.008US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 22:07 | Megaquake by August 31? | BUY | 0.0784789292 | $61.83 |
| 08-03 21:32 | Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | BUY | 0.7780690774 | $67.13 |
| 08-03 14:24 | Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? | BUY | 0.9209399451 | $915.50 |
| 08-01 20:00 | Will the Toronto Blue Jays clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | BUY | 0.09 | $38.14 |
| 08-01 19:59 | Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.013 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 02:59 | Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26? | BUY | 0.9314940683 | $417.72 |
| 07-24 23:39 | Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.012 | $7.91 |
| 07-13 14:33 | Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12? | BUY | 0.959 | $7.78 |
| 07-13 02:50 | Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $46.99 |
| 07-13 02:18 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0256910934 | $31.78 |
| 07-11 21:24 | Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? | BUY | 0.8799730331 | $63.31 |
| 07-05 23:53 | Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $14.30 |
| 07-03 19:42 | Will Louis Varland be named to the AL All-Star Team at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game? | BUY | 0.9544144144 | $38.14 |
| 07-03 14:43 | Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan? | SELL | 0.1220306877 | $258.44 |
| 07-03 01:26 | Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan? | BUY | 0.1049616423 | $43.92 |