PolyBot

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Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-02
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.92. up 0.52 over the period, from 0.40. Range 0.40 to 0.94. 147 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.937070
0.9741111
0.98100211
0.99484694

Spread0.02Mid0.92

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.919090
0.7651141
0.2420161
0.095166
0.0520186
0.0320206
0.0284290
0.0110300

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.099090
0.2451141
0.7620161
0.915166
0.9520186
0.9720206
0.9884290
0.9910300

Spread0.02Mid0.08

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.077070
0.0341111
0.02100211
0.01484694

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
KiruaTradingYes1,213.49
0x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-1768964329836Yes534.32
99bloomnanoYes531.31
mamaiYes433.27
Bruce9119Yes252.63
DowJones2Yes118.21
buyat89Yes110
williamlaitradeYes100
onformeYes100
tradetosurvive1Yes45.18
TammyReynolds3557Yes40
HaradwaithYes33.76
randolphcurtisYes23.95
splogdesYes23.1
uprunYes21
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes20
LornaPredictsYes15.66
mathacecYes15
skrol1fYes14.29
0x5f13fc993d6a04e7FB801f9204cC3c26Eb6Cf926-1781987576884Yes12.38

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:05:25SELLNo0.0529$1.45
19:05:31SELLNo0.0544$2.22
18:57:07BUYYes0.961$1.00
16:56:30SELLNo0.0589$4.46
16:56:30SELLNo0.076$0.45
16:45:27BUYNo0.1120$2.20
16:40:25BUYNo0.1120$2.20
16:35:25BUYNo0.1220$2.40
16:26:57BUYNo0.1133$3.63
16:26:52BUYNo0.1136$3.96
16:26:49BUYNo0.0820$1.60
16:26:28BUYNo0.0720$1.40
16:22:49BUYYes0.9063636364110$99.70
12:11:19SELLYes0.890$0.31
12:07:40BUYYes0.9120$18.20
12:07:40BUYYes0.8840$35.20
11:56:40SELLYes0.8410$8.69
11:54:25SELLYes0.850$0.03
11:54:19BUYNo0.129999993310$1.36
11:54:15BUYNo0.1310$1.24
11:54:15SELLYes0.87100$87.00
11:53:04SELLYes0.8718$15.69
11:53:00SELLYes0.876$5.19
11:09:46BUYYes0.909999999314$13.00
06:44:06BUYYes0.8662383594231$200.00